Trend Mathematical Probability & Statistics


Top Customer Reviews: Edexcel A level ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 22 ratings
5 / 5 Milly
Formed: Paperback <a href='' way='floating: to the left; cushioning-right: 20px'><img embroiders='0' alt='Edexcel A Mechanics of Statistics of Mathematics & of Year of level 2 Textbook + and-book: Year 2 (A Mathematics of level and Mathematician Further 2017)' src='' /></a><a href=''>Edexcel A Mechanics of Statistics of Mathematics & of Year of level 2 Textbook + and-book: Year 2</one> for <a href=''>Harry Smith</a><br/>
My indication: <a href=''>2 of 5 stars</a>

am writing this description partorisca inform my fellow mates that can choose it on this book with some intentions partorisca improve his mathematical skills and prepare them partorisca some forceful still intrepid and thrilling edexcel syllabus. It would like to of first praise a book partorisca having question that reflect the one who some real questions in a test can be and also adding little extracted likes some questions to defy concealed the looks from time to time really takes my engine of education reving sometimes find me in a shower with my discharges partorisca rain on thinking in these questions to defy to develop for knowledge besides a syllabus. This in spite of can not ignore a rain adds of deceptions in this book a quantity of responses that is bad in this book is simply unacceptable the simple double control could have fixed this question but this in spite of am dipped in of the situations in of the multiple occasions in that the doubt. It imagines partorisca toil partorisca ten minutes in the questions some juices are really flowing and then like twist to a backside of a backside partorisca see some responses am horrified likes to discover are wrong but this in spite of can not take action so that it was not if a book or am corrected and for this are propiciado the sleepless nights in that I thinks in a question has dreaded so only partorisca wake up and discover the mine that asks my professors that some answered where wrong, all this time squandered in the deception boba really is absolutely ridiculous.
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5 / 5 Hershel
Formed: Paperback In general the good book this in spite of a content is dumbed down again. Shame otherwise generally easy to follow.
4 / 5 Isaura
Formed: Paperback Good book, but some deceive keys in of the responses/of questions. The on-line resources am very good. Well A level prep book - is expensive when that has to buy it all 4 partorisca a a level (more so much of textbooks partorisca other subjects)
5 / 5 Johnie
Formed: Paperback My daughter required partorisca 2nd mathematician of year the level. A better price has found them
4 / 5 Mackenzie
Formed: Paperback really useful partorisca review of daughters , highly recommended
4 / 5 Timmy
Formed: Paperback the product Adds the price adds to good sure would recommend
5 / 5 Mitzie
Formed: Paperback has Bought partorisca my daughter. Perfecto.
5 / 5 Darcie
Formed: Paperback Edexcel rid partorisca year 2 A material of level. Complicated but necessary to learn... It is gone in good condition but has taken very long partorisca ship.
5 / 5 Cornell
Formed: Paperback If your boy is doing Edexcel A mathematics of level; well the value that buys some books of text.
4 / 5 Stefany
<A href='' way='floating: to the left; cushioning-right: 20px'><img embroiders='0' alt='Edexcel A Mechanics of Statistics of Mathematics & of Year of level 2 Textbook + and-book: Year 2 (A Mathematics of level and Mathematician Further 2017)' src='' /></a><a href=''>Edexcel A Mechanics of Statistics of Mathematics & of Year of level 2 Textbook + and-book: Year 2</one>for <a href=''>Harry Smith</a><br/>
My indication: <a href=''>2 of 5 stars</a>

am writing this description partorisca inform my fellow mates that can choose it on this book with some intentions partorisca improve his mathematical skills and prepare them partorisca some forceful still intrepid and thrilling edexcel syllabus. It would like to of first praise a book partorisca having question that reflect the one who some real questions in a test can be and also adding little extracted likes some questions to defy concealed the looks from time to time really takes my engine of education reving sometimes find me in a shower with my discharges partorisca rain on thinking in these questions to defy to develop for knowledge besides a syllabus. This in spite of can not ignore a rain adds of deceptions in this book a quantity of responses that is bad in this book is simply unacceptable the simple double control could have fixed this question but this in spite of am dipped in of the situations in of the multiple occasions in that the doubt. It imagines partorisca toil partorisca ten minutes in the questions some juices are really flowing and then like twist to a backside of a backside partorisca see some responses am horrified likes to discover are wrong but this in spite of can not take action so that it was not if a book or am corrected and for this are propiciado the sleepless nights in that I thinks in a question has dreaded so only partorisca wake up and discover the mine that asks my professors that some answered where wrong, all this time squandered in the deception boba really is absolutely ridiculous.
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5 / 5 Sage
has errors in to the some answered likes them of all some other books for Pearson/Edexcel partorisca A mathematics partorisca Level
5 / 5 Zane
Good book, but some deceive keys in of the responses/of questions. The on-line resources am very good. Well A level prep book - is expensive when that has to buy it all 4 partorisca a a level (more so much of textbooks partorisca other subjects)
5 / 5 Bo
My daughter required partorisca 2nd mathematician of year the level. A better prize has found them
5 / 5 Manie
In general the good book this in spite of a content is dumbed down again. Shame otherwise generally easy to follow.
5 / 5 Edwina
Really useful partorisca review of daughters , highly recommended
5 / 5 Ruby
has produced Adds the prize adds to good sure would recommend
5 / 5 Elida
Edexcel book partorisca year 2 A material of level. Complicated but necessary to learn... It is gone in good condition but has taken very long partorisca ship.
5 / 5 Cleopatra
The book adds! Coverages the plot of a new A content of Level partorisca Mathematicians. Also it comes with the free on-line copy!
4 / 5 Suzanna
A book has been rid quickly , without any inconveniences and is the book adds partorisca study
5 / 5 Monica
has Loved a new text. It is which is. It is a text of course
5 / 5 Sonya
If your boy is doing Edexcel A mathematics of level; well the value that buys some books of text.
4 / 5 Lorraine
The book adds to help progress of pupils in his learning.

Top Customer Reviews: The Art of ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 40 ratings
5 / 5 Tonda
When I am not writing witty and informative descriptions on Amazon my work of day is like the statistician of Government. For like this when it offer an occasion partorisca read this book thought it would be useful partorisca me partorisca do like this. And I think that that it is by train partorisca help in my work. I am thinking more roughly which more partorisca present my statistics and the one who the analytical technician could use too much. Like these works of book of this perspective.

This book takes real world-wide questions and calm points as it has been answered that it present a lot of statistical technicians to the equal that does like this. He this whilst aiming partorisca avert 'that taken embroiled in of the technical details'. Some questions have chosen is in subjects quite interesting likes him 'reason do of the old men have big ears?', 'Those trees are there in this planet?' (Some have estimated the trillions owe that know ) or that quotes the daughter/of edges he be given his parents' heights and like this on with some of some questions that is to base on do an author has been involved in during his career. Relating some questions the helps of real life a text appeals no only to statisticians (to the like this pound is consecrated) but also to readers any technicians 'those who want to be informed more in a statistics finds both in his work and in daily life.'

Some of this is not material new, p. p.ej. Early bit in the presentation of data likes 3D wry maps a lot when being pas useful to compare proportions. But a book takes more involved like works by means of him taking deeper in the statistical technicians that he harder that comprise and requiring more concentration, and an author is conscious of of the this, for example asking if it is 'all clear? If it is not then please be reassured that has has has joined generations of the students baffled'. Also a calm full conclusion to take to an end.

Material useful in here for me was a chapter on regression (which is which uses more generally that a lot a rest), and a last pair of the chapters after a hard material were good reading also, aiming bad examples and good examples of statistics of the revised and one likes him and explaining reason (the offering that it learns points).

The technical material is relegated to a technical glossary like this the book is readable (which is well for the book in statistics), although still hard in of the places. For my work has been useful and am happy bed that and have he for future reference.
4 / 5 Zenobia
For my sins have been forced to study Statistician like a undergraduate in engineering and later doing the diploma of business management. In both courses have been in front of textbooks this has contained to plot of mathematics and equations. And some courses have looked recipes, to submerge to some books and use some formulas and of the tables to solve the situation dates. Enough frankly, I am surfaced any wiser in spite of all some notes, conferences and discussions.

After reading the positive critique of this book in an edition of United Kingdom of a Spectator has bought the copy saws Amazon. They are like this happy I , for him has explained mine which have been missing in Statistical all my working life, which has spent now. Using just simple words in the fashion that is not that it speaks down to a reader, David soyirrorholder', drove by means of a beautiful world of statistics. It is evident concealed David so only master statistician, but has had such one idea, that can teach another like the master of his subject. They are like this happy this has dipped pen to paper.

This in spite of, has the commentary in a quality of impression of a book. My copy has been printed and joined in Big Bretagna. A control of the quality has not gone enough. A meandering hand-held margin well that diverse of 16 to 11mm (I thinks an aim was the 15 mm wide margin) was more in entertained.
4 / 5 Irving
A book adds that humour of offers and talent to learn an art of statistics. Not liking the calm statistics reservations could have first found, is full of pithy the examples the help takes complex concepts easily. I have learnt to plot and has been (mine) using statistical for years!
5 / 5 Annamae
Whilst A lot of books of the popular science simply explains REASON the subject is interesting, and say histories around the, this rids in fact explains THE ONE WHO READ of statistics.

A reason ossia such the scarce thing is that simply there is not any a lot of people those who can combine the world-wide-main scientific alcohols with storytelling skill and writing clarity. David Spiegelhalter the diverse career means that it is been in an interior of like this fascinating histories of statistical detective, of as it is possible to something to the murderous of to the serial likes him Harold Shipman to analyse of the one who lived and died during a Titanic disaster, and uses these examples of real life to impulse one goes he in those a lot of people thinks of art like this dark of statistics. For an end of him there will not be any a lot of readers those who have not had a lot of 'lightbulb moments' as finally give the one who his professors escoles has had clumsily tried to explain in turgid mathematical tongue - much easier in fluid, readable English!

Of Some-students of science of the level until practising legal, doctor, financial, economic and professional of science, has to be reading required in a lot of the syllabus and reading-ready - but a lot this has left thinks that is the hard read. A charmingly readable way, footnotes this mark smiled, and histories that engross, marks this reserves the like to spend time with.
5 / 5 Elnora
A context of a book is established immediately with real-world-wide examples (eg. Harold Shipman, That eats bacon and risk of cancer of the intestine). Some movements of author judiciously among concepts keys without flooding a reader in complexity. Importantly There is heeded Prof Stephen Hawkins - any formula in a main text ( is hiding in a apêndice).
With which almost 25 years to read papers of investigation like the Chartered Physiotherapist and that has done a MSc in Investigation of Services of the Health, ossia undoubtedly a textbook I desire has had like a undergraduate.
Start with a ‘reason' of statistics, a rationale and the methodology of statistics results instantly clear to everything. Easy to read, frank in his own difficulties (eg. Labelling ‘Dead excess' during Bristol Scandal of Corazón), Gentleman David Spiegelhalter has written the modern classical.
Statistical and to the literacy of risk would owe that be intrinsic to everything of knots; learning to drive, stroll the bicycle, cooking etc is easily of the investigations. It invests in this text and calm is committing the liberty of statistical ignorance. Spent 2 and present the partner.
4 / 5 Hubert
The data and the statistical is subject of core in a lot of disciplines, comprising economy and psychology, and is seen a lot with disinterest for that is not concerned with them. Cela Has many to do with a fact that the statistical is everything in numbers.

Still here is the book this has turned statistician to the subject fun. He rouses curiosity and enlightens without ache. In a contrary, a book is written with exemplary clarity. The one who was a class of people that Harold Shipman, a murderous of calm serial? Using statistical, a continuous author in to answer questions like this Shipman could be be take sooner?

Does to eat the bacon augments our casualidad to take cancer? As we Ascertain an accuracy of statistical studios? It is there he tricks to be conscious of, that resists to import a oft quoted axiom – ‘ has lies, damned lies, and statistical'? This book has all some responses and calm can read he with liking, finally comprising the dark art.
4 / 5 Denny
David Spiegelhalter is an excellent radio and presenter of television of statistical and bad rarities has comprised of the risks. It is the advantage adds the science popularization. This rids this in spite of can be hard that goes and law much more like the textbook. The lighter of passage has expected.
4 / 5 Jeffery
Has bought this after reading the description that said it the statistics done accessible. I am not convinced he , is still very technical and difficult to dip he-person to comprise. I have studied statistician in a-Level this in spite of struggled to fully comprise all some concepts in a book. Some very interesting sections, particularly the ideas to the statistics of simple ways can be manipulated and to the equal that to improve electoral polling, but can do with an editor that simplifies things down to do them easier that comprise, is for this that gave it 3 and any 4 or 5 stars.
5 / 5 Margo
Like the senior PhD scientific of the engineering are very careful in the ROOT of the support in fellow is and circulate familiar, sampling and trying a lot of books in mathematician and popular science. I know an author and this individual a this brilliant value for money. Spent more than one and give was, the statistical is on science of data and is the must in @@@2020s - next to cleantech and risks of climate.
5 / 5 Isabel
A very good discussion roughly interpreting statistical. A lot well it writes also.
4 / 5 Sherell
A very good discussion roughly interpreting statistical. Very well it writes also.
4 / 5 Lincoln
A very good introduction to uses (and abuses!) Of statistics. Particularly enjoyable partorisca me so that it was in pupil with David, although we have lost partorisca touch of then.
4 / 5 Deneen
An excellent overview of statistics and his methods partorisca any those who does not know all this a lot in a @@@subject and/or does not like partorisca treat the plot of numbers. Well written - I bear says amused.
4 / 5 Maximina
A book was described like this. You are rid the day sooner . Quite happy with a book and speedy delivery.
4 / 5 Brant
Thoughtfully Written with a reader a lot in alcohol. Cliché And newsworthy the examples do a text that involves.
4 / 5 Danial
Is good to have the subject dry explained with examples of real life
4 / 5 Shavonne
a lot of illuminating. Extremely it dress balanced and connoisseur of data and statistician. Rid has better read on application of statistics.
5 / 5 Damon
Going to be the good bed. Well writing and involving way.
5 / 5 Lucas
A lot of enjoyable read in @@subject averted strongly for a lot of villages. It resupplies useful visual and simple comprising to a fundamental of statistics.
5 / 5 Ezra
An introduction partorisca involve to the @@subject which at the beginning can look overwhelming.
4 / 5 Napoleon
Error of enormous press in paperback version with 50 pages that loses, instead fill up with 50 pages have duplicated besides aim in a book
5 / 5 Miquel
Some ways some ideas of models are interpreted is fantastic.
5 / 5 Moriah
Loves a material David Spiegelhalter has produced, quell'interest has read.
5 / 5 Laurene
Am enjoying reading this book – as it is not something would expect to say in the book of statistician.

Ossia The highly readable book , accessible that shows an use of statistics, some processes have involved in statistical analysis, an impact and effects of different framings and scales, a potential abuse, and has has lost occasions. A book gives useful ideas to some statistical methods, although this is not the book of mathematical formula and derivative mathematical tests – is looking for such, will require to look elsewhere.

An author dips a discussion of studios of chances to the PPDAC cycle (Question, Plan, Data, Analysis, Conclusion), for this that follows one statistical lifecycle, of conception and planning this in spite of to use, interpretation. Some studios of chances are very chosen and interesting.

In the bed those a lot of statistical books and facts in a field of medical investigation, estimate this like the very good book. Excellent for those looking for the good introduction the statistics, and interesting and informative for any one.
4 / 5 Dewey
I have done run of the statistician and I comprise a mathematics but I desire has had any as Spiegelhalter partorisca motivate and explain some fundamental concepts. A typical course has been with an introduction the probability, then stirs it of definitions of typical statistical terms, and woosh: regression, p-values, all illustrated with artificial examples that has had pocola relevance the real practice.

Spiegelhalter, This in spite of, uses real-world-wide examples of a start, and softly present of the statistical terms to the equal that progresses, explains reason is useful, and objective some processes of thought has required partorisca analyse each question. The intuition can direct astray, and included beat it statistician mislead if any interpreted properly, like tip in of the multiple contexts.

Ossia Drives end . It is particularly strong in a presentation of statistics: know your audience! Partorisca The book with hardly a lot of formulae, is surprisingly rigorous and current. There are sections on learning of car and artificial intelligence, and there is the good-looking explanation of Bayesian methods. A very worthy book.
5 / 5 Ray
The statistics has the enormous impact is - on bombed with them in an informative, is essential the medical tests, fundamental science, some chances of yard and far more. This in spite of the statistical is also the @@@subject that a lot of fight partorisca treat (especially when a coupled subject of probability rears his boss). The majority of us so only are not instrumented partorisca comprise that it is said, or partorisca the question when one statistical is dodgy. That David Spiegelhalter does here is partorisca resupply the very thorough introductory grounding in of the statistics without doing use of mathematician formulae. And it has to that individual .

That probably will surprise a bit the one who has some formation in of the statistics, particularly (likes mine) is in an old side, is that the probability does not come to a book until page 205. Spiegelhalter Concurridos That like the probability is an appearance a hard plus partorisca we partorisca take an intuitive to feel for, this does to plot of sense - and think that is well. It conceal it does not mean that it does not cover all some pertinent appearances, but that a book does not take the historical approximation the statistics, but is structured on like a mathematics is used, more than like this was developed - which is refreshing.

To the long of a way, Spiegelhalter put and then explores the number of questions, of basics as 'Those trees are there in a planet?', By means of 'Do statins reduce attacks of heart and trace ' to 'Fact extrasensory perception (ESP) exists?' (A last an is not the tentativa general Bayesian in this question, incidentally, but the look in like this psychologist Daryl Well has directed partorisca come up with data that was statistically significant that sustains an idea.) You will find all a power of statistics, some controversies (frequentist v. Bayesian, Abuses of P-values and statistical importance) and some the diverse statistics of ways can be taken bad. And ossia all presented in a way the reader of has thought can comprise, without any leading exposure to a mathematics of statistics.

Is not partorisca perfect. There are some sections where Spiegelhalter is not partorisca clear enough in his no technical descriptions - for example in description of as null the hypothesis is used, use of P-values and like his really bad - but his task is not helped by a complexity that is involved, and managing all this without using the mathematician is still quite remarkable. While a reader any technician is prepared to go with a flow and, if necessary, king-read the few parts, a book the brilliant work.

I really the desire there was far more than this class of what in school mathematics. A vast majority of this mathematics to take GCSEs does not use never more than arithmetic. It was so better could be exposed to this class of the explanatory teaching where is not required to solve equations or anything, but instead comprise like a mathematics that influences our works of bolt and to the equal that can be misused. If then they go in to mathematician A-level, easily can choose on a basics in any first few weeks - for a vast majority that no, ossia that teaching of the mathematician would owe that be like me (so that teaching of the science in this level has to that have far science more popular).

Spiegelhalter Is warm and promoting - is the sincerely enjoyable read. Yes, a reader has to that do the bit, but is cost totally he. This book would owe that be reading required for all the politics, journalists, medics and any those who looks for to influence people (or is influenced) for statistics. A recognition by force.

Has some in a glossary, but calm does not require to see them.
4 / 5 Allene
Has read to plot of books of pops of mathematics and enjoy them (Hannah Fries, Of the Sautoy, Simon Singh, and pervious books for Spiegelhalter). This an east bit it more chewy. Where Sex for Numbers (Wellcome Collection) uses statistical to say you things, this book is much more afterwards to the textbook on like the statisticians would owe that be facts and that it can be learnt of him.

Has learnt extracted adds of of the this and his discussions of Harold Shipman and of 95 accuracy tries to give far more dud positive that answered attentive (inter alía) has been really eye-inaugural. A technicality of p and t the tests has bit it further me and one or two graphs could be clearer (although my copy of the preview is not painted and like this perhaps ossia unfair).

Certainly one averts of a book that knows statistical reason and trying of the importance is resulting never more centrical in of to to the subjects likes him to him the psychology where the crisis of replication is law (and still in a-the statistical level is resulting more prevalent) and his clear desire that some journalists that informs chances (often quotes examples of poor informing) would comprise teh the use given and any to confuse them and readers.

Enormous quantities to learn, but perhaps too technical for the majority of us.
5 / 5 Diamond
Written by an experienced forensic statitician ossia the very informed idea to an use and, often, sadly, abuse of statistics that is generated of one of then surrounds. It gives the good grounding in a correlation vs causation, algorithms, probabilities and critical that thinks that gives a reader dipped some tools to value and estimativa some figures have shouted in us in an informative, in of the half comunicacionales social, in decision that he government
4 / 5 Tatum
has loved to read this book because in fact a lot of years have been fascinated for how is possible for some insiemi was of statistics to accustom purposes of clash for selective quotation of them. Amur Of politics to use this, so that some means comunicacionales to do good headlines. This reservation a lot so only explains like these works of trick, but give you a bit approximation and mental tools to question statistical when you find him, essentially giving you a mindset to ask some right questions of the people that use statistical to dazzle, cajole or hoodwink you.

Is not the very mathematical treatment of a subject (that it was it the relief adds to numerically defied) but is well and literately writing. I found it more read in small chunks to give a time of alcohol to internalise and reflect in each reading. Some the glorious examples am given of as the statistics has the habit of further the point of view and like a collection of statistician can be @@@subject to bias that all too easily colour or distort a history purportedly says.

Him him Any one interests in the sympathetic way in the statistical is used in a modern world and to the equal that can better to interpret one endless statistician this comes your way, then ossia a book for you.
5 / 5 Melba
Anything thinks Statistical, is a part of entity of life. Any only is to bomb with statistics, is now in one was of algorithms, based in ‘big data.' It is, account a lot readable, of as learn die, some looks of author in like this requires to use, and interpret, die.

Thinks that that this will be the dry bed, then think again. This really the uses date real to give examples of as the statistics of entity is and that it can aim. This in spite of, thus more experienced in of the data, there is a lot in samples, collection of data, populations, causation, correlation, forecast, probability and much more. If you are involved to collect die, likes quota of is, there is a lot on to the equal that can ‘do' statistic better and to the equal that to interpret a data collects more usefully.

In general, the useful book and intelligently writing, which will not overwhelm calm with the slang and which is an interesting bed – remarkable in the @@@subject like sense could be very dry.
5 / 5 Oleta
Contador of sounds-intuitive, but the roughly statistical book ossia the fun and involving read? It have doubted it, personally, first to read east. It is both the solid foundation for any one beginning to study statistician, and the useful eye-opener for a rest of us.

David Spiegelhalter has written drives detailed and highly appropriate to a fundamentals of statistics. Felizmente For any mathematician geniuses like me is not the book of theorem and tests, enough the friendly and enjoyable converged. If you have enjoyed a series of science of venerable BBC 'Horizon' probably will locate well with this book. A chapter in summarising and the communicating numbers is particularly appropriate in societies today, how is some the numerous examples have examined during a book of investigation and be of data misinterpreted or mine-has informed. The deceptions are there to be learnt of.

In todays world, the numbers are quoted in us of all the corners, and used like this justification by all the world of politics, to pundits, to drug companies, the people of sales. Unless we love to stun or misled, helps having an idea to as these numbers can be derivative, manipulated, comprised bad, or downright misrepresented. I thank an author to give me that vital education. Now I seat better able to question statistical that it is quoted mine , and abler that do good decisions like the result.
5 / 5 Elenor
Statistical - want to him or hate them is a part of entity of modern life. Personally they are the enormous defender of statistics and a correct use of them – as the book like this (this in spite of up my forward the few occasions) is of the interest adds mine. The statistical is bandied roughly in a press and for pseudo-expert every day by means of some means comunicacionales and yours mean bod often quotes this rear ad-infinitum has any substance to them or no – as the book like this extoling a good and bad use of them is a lot timely.

Likes Spiegelhalter has said the data does not speak for him – for this is of entity to be able to read and interpret them sensibly (correctly?) In Fourteen chapters an author explores like the statistics have been used, is used and would have to that be used. Reason are of entities and that spends when the statistics is used wrongly.

By means of accumulations of recent data an author explains that one can decipher real world-wide questions. Some of these examples are wonderful – likes is easily wooed and wowed for Of Statistics! I have it that has not finalised still a book but is already the swipe and am a lot probably to king-read the again the year or so much!
4 / 5 Talitha
Is not aimed in a totally mathematically illiterate, need the basic comprising of mathematician and statistician to access, but of then is is one of some reservation some clear plus in of the statistics, his use, importance and reason an interpretation of data is vital to the accessibility and the conclusions of him. He also ameno out of a beauty of real statistics, like the underlying truths can be discovered and presented in of the innovative ways, like the data can be done to be good-looking and to the equal that can be perverted. It is the really excellent book . Highly recommended and a lot of value an endeavour to read.
4 / 5 Florinda
I books of statistician have the reputation to be packed plenary of incomprehensible mathematician formulae ossia instantly forgettable a moment a book is closed! I have begun to study statistician in the medical school on done 35 years and for far a plus memorable the book in a subject was “Like the lie with Statistics” for Darrell Huff. Are wanted to to discover this Gentleman David Spiegelhalter also had read a same book when he statistical studied first. His career in of the statistics has been meteoric and is considered now likes one of some statisticians more than entities in United Kingdom.

Was therefore the pleasure to read his book in an Art of Statistics. This goes back to basics, of a history of as statistical utmost in the past likes Fisher, Neyman, Pearson, Bayes, Bernouilli, Pascal, Arbuthnot and a lot another has developed some statistical methods that it is in common uses today. At all points, door behind to a value key of statisticians that is to help resupply answered the questions of real life as if Harold Shipman the killers could be be relieve earlier. To the long of a way, directs softly by means of different statistical approximations a lot to analyse and presenting die.

A book is not short but is highly readable and can recommend it to any the one who desires to obtain the best comprising of statistics in any one the professional or personal capacity. Some tables and the illustrations are clear but would be improved was in colour. This in spite of, in an alcohol of Pelican books, this is to be publish in monochrome. I have found a footnotes really useful and also some link in a backside of a book to read further and plants pertinent web.

Ossia The masterclass in communication in statistics: appearances at all less than any the one who resists the Chair for Risk and Communication of Evidence. In a moment, Professor Spiegelhalter the partidários would owe that listen the Enough like the Radio 4 podcast where looks sporadically like the statistical expert, when called to the decipher a truth behind some numbers that looks in the informative histories of weekly.
4 / 5 Camellia
As any the one who has an interest in of the statistics and has completed studies partorisca involve appearances of statistics, think this book for David Spiegelhalter is pitched exactly well: Full of interesting content that is guaranteed partorisca stick with you and teach you the thing or two, but writing in a way to involve — any stuffy or in any way excluyente.

A book poses the variety of “questions” of the real life and he then breaks him down partorisca answer them using examples of statistics, doing a content relatable with the dose sã of the talent has added to a mix. This does a book generally quite accessible and dare say amused to read — any one calms really seat to like is reading the book in of the statistics but pondering the question never has known inclusa is existed!
5 / 5 Tien
An author can be been modest in his prologue elsewhere downplaying his ash of eminence but this book is test that has both in abundance in statistics of subject - his 'youthful' (modern beds ) serenades of ash of exceptional eminence. A humour is both timeless and educational.

The sum he on this book has the statistics undressed of formulas, clothed in pure prose that it is scholarly crafted to communicate essentials without sacrificing rigour.

Some silts of statistical power of his dry talent the one who statistical of the tower to an elegant art promotes. Ossia The book of the statistician likes any of another authored in one was of pertinent time of data and science of big data. A bridge is in bylines, a quality and idea unparalleled. For any that wants to learn and statistician of use for any reason here is the gem, so only indulge and UNDERMINE IN.
5 / 5 Felicidad
A more clear and better introduction to the statistical writing for one of some living statisticians more utmost. This rids no moved a lot down a content presents a later thought in dice in the clear and accessible way. You recommend this book to any the one who is interested to learn really in the data and that try to separate facts of fiction, but is also the perfect introductory text for a undergraduate run of statistician so that they are fearful of statistics. It is the pleasure to read .
5 / 5 Annamaria
Expected that this book would give me an orientation of introductory level in of the statistics to the equal that begins the PhD, and do. They are relatively feeble in a front of numerical reasoning, but found that a enjoyable read for the coverage to cover approximation, with interesting examples abonos to take maintain you has involved. It is given me it grip in a vocabulary and the concepts and feel now have the sense of some subjects that arises with an use of statistics.
4 / 5 Marilu
In general a lot of enjoyable and informative, but that goes weighed in time.

A brisk way to write is sum for some real-world-wide examples but less like this when applying to these some statistical technicians have covered in this book.
5 / 5 Alease
Although the little more complicated that it has anticipated it that would be, has found An Art of Statistics some interesting beds, with numerous examples that has been easy to relate to. A start, especially, was highly informative with an explanation of ‘relative risk' in report to take cancer of intestine and one eating the flesh has accused. This is to be explain really well for an author. But I look it more the chapters in me have found I taking lost in a text. Besides, it liked also to see more than the information that surrounds IQ and some the a lot of controversies have associated with him. All could find was the paragraph or two in Cyril Burt in a final chapter: Like the things Go Wrong.

An Art of Statisticians agreed a bit of Ben Goldacre rid: Bad Science. This in spite of, have found John Spiegelhalter text less accessible, probably statistical reason (like mathematician) is generally the difficult plus and confusing @@@subject to write on, included when to to the statisticians like Spiegelhalter do of the remarkable work writes like this clearly and entertainingly to the equal that do.

I hope finds my useful description.

Top Customer Reviews: The Black Swan: The ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 20 ratings
4 / 5 Ozell
Formed: Paperback I summarise a book in a paragraph and then give positive and negative commentary and critiques it the most serious that his message.

Resuman:

Forecasting Is extremely difficult and usually little better that guessing. The majority of experts in of the social sciences, especially finance and economy, overrate his, proclaiming qualified simply does not have ( uses a word 'fraudster' long). It analyses of risk, and in fact all statistical work that confidences of the Gaussian suppositions, no reasons the Gaussian suppositions do not resist further of real world-wide situations, which are subject the 'unknown unknowns'. It quotes an example of the casino the one who mathematical used partorisca control his losses the gamblers but has lost still the plot of money when a irreplaceable the interpreter in his main show was maimed for the tiger, and when the daughter of an owner has been kidnapped. Almost it lose his licence when an irresponsible employee has hid stirs it of returns of tax in planting to file them. These, of course, is some black swans of a title.

A positive:

is easy to read and entertaining, with one involving human touch. His ideas are to a large extent valid and of entities. It is the gain provocative defy the conventional thought and the slap in a face to self-economists that import those who take too seriously.

A negative:

is repetitive and could be be write in 50 pages. For a mid-point, a constant rubbishing of a scientific integer and the community of mathematician likes fraudsters sense like the tiresome rant. To it chairs Them of to end like them listen to a charismatic leader of the religious sect that explains that so only knows a truth and all that has not listened his has been cursed. In fact, an author is even more arrogant that that attack.

Critical:

A world of finance has known for the long time that his models do not leave for black swans. A question is yes to use in existent models the one who read the majority of a time, or some alternative. Taleb Is not to clear roughly the one who his alternative is this in spite of quickly refuses other villages' tentativas to leave for black swans in existing models. It says his method 'develops intuitions of practical', trusts on'kepticism', and esophisticated work', eseeks to be roughly just across the together width of eventuality', esspects that has some guts to say has not been ', and use him soyessy mathematical and computational methods'. Any of of the this is to specify, is apple and cake of just motherhood.

Gives the clue that half to invest. ' Respecto Remote more in a stock market 'promising', particularly a esafe' stock of blue chip, that does in speculative adventures - some forwards represents invisible risks, an offer last surprised very calm of then knows the one who volatile is and can limit your downside to invest the smallest quantities.'

Costs to take the good look in this logic. It is saying that it invests in of the risky advantages but reasons are risky, does not dip any a lot of money in them. Where Dipped a rest of him then? Probably In some stocks of sure blue chips the one who only says does not like. I warn a commentary ' know the one who volatile is'. It spends the majority of a book that predict that it calms does not know never things the one who volatile is. That means here is that it knows is a lot volatile. Reading attentively, his quantities of strategy to this. A phase generally undervalues some risks and overvalues another and, using his intuition, he an opposite for profit other errors of villages. Ossia The approximation of sound . It is also the common and very known a. A hard part is like this to identify some errors. Calm think you can do he to leave for black swans, of models more commercial does not leave for them. But this means in fact is trusting on all these models to exist, albeit in the contrarian way. If all the world there is prendido to use his, his strategy would disappear. It has done a chance that the black swans are of entities and difficult to stops of account. It does not follow that one do one better if that exists the methods were ditched.

Finally, his earthy dismissal of all the mathematics that use the Gaussian distributions is crass. For example it signals out of these words are distributed according to the law to be able to, any Gaussian. Ossia True, this in spite of like this recognition of tongue, and all a tongue has based artificial intelligence that quickly is resulting powerful and useful, is based in mathematicians that use Gaussian distributions in his core.
5 / 5 Chantel
Formed: Paperback There there is probably the point in here, and has learnt the little on one creating, but too ranty and round. Not to motivate me partorisca finalise. Still it does not know that it is saying that it averts big things ' , unexpected has big consequences , unexpected'
5 / 5 Arvilla
Formed: Kindle the edition has read this book because it was mentioned for Daniel Kahneman thought ' fast and slow'. While a centrical idea is interesting, a way is presented is so only terrible. Nassim Nicolas Taleb does not present a subject, excepts by means of episodes, terms of uses before it writes that his in fact bad and never really explains like his 'theory' the works and a whole thing does not have any structure. A book is full of the lack of respect partorisca more, except his friends his next plus, is the first example like the bully another writes. An author judges a quality of books for his smell, I sadly bough a kindle edition, otherwise a stench would have dipped me out of the buy.
5 / 5 Lyda
Formed: Paperback A 'black swan' the chance is the significant unexpected chance that has enormous consequences - like banking collapse of 2008 or to to the terrorist attack likes 9/11. There is not treat add partorisca say roughly 'black swan' marry his the once defines - another that that there has calm any a lot of can do to prevent them they so that it is unpredictable. (And you direct partorisca prevent one, any one will know calm prevented it reason does not spend .)

In a course of 400 pages, Nassim Taleb tongues amusingly and eruditely in black swans and a human reaction to them, which is not always logical. One the majority of lovely take-was the message is that the history a lot always prepares partorisca some futures - Taleb uses an example of turkeys and Navidad. Partorisca The days of thousand, a farmer feeds his turkeys and a turkey think is the man bondadoso the one who wants turkeys. Like this when a day of slaughter comes, take the earthy awake. (Navidad of course when being the chance of still black swan turkeys.)

If the unlimited time and enjoy philosophical and psychological degressions, and wants to know in Taleb life, probably will enjoy this book. If your time is limited and calm so only wants to know a essentials in black swans, look elsewhere.
5 / 5 Thu
Formed: Kindle Edition Ossia the highly estimated book - roughly dipping he in a cup ten influential more than some last fifty years! A concept of core that all (ours technology, our history, has included a fact that the life exists on earth) is shaped for 'Black Swan' (chance of low/incidence of big impact) is surely true. Ossia A plus has bitten of a book and has real impact. Fundamentally it moves a way thinks roughly in some world-wide - is lucky survivors , but in the then build the narrative that somehow was unavoidable that is coming partorisca be here today. And of course, all a material in the financial phases that is built in a pseudo science of renderizacin of risk and predictability - until in a course of the alone day a lot of thousands million to a chance spends. It is of entity partorisca be familiarised with these ideas. It Taleb , any one entirely convincingly, is the then build the quite rambling book to extrapolate his deep idea to the theory of life and everything. But he no quite work. The life is too short for books that no quite work. There is abundance more while to be read. As I have abandoned of the half way.
4 / 5 Allegra
Formed: Kindle the edition are not qualified partorisca comment in a mathematics and philosophical competence of an author. But it looks partorisca know his material. I am reassured for a fact that wins money for commercial using his capacities.

Like such, is the refreshing transmission of some superficial books that expresses surprised for journalists or of the people that there is never has tried in fact his theories in realities.

Assuming is well, a lot of modern finance and in fact thinking roughly highly unlikely (but no impossible) the chances is frighteningly injustice.

Partorisca Any involved in business, investing (stock, FX, bonds etc) -although ossia so only your own pension -ossia essential reading .

One of one the majority of has thought partorisca cause the books have read partorisca the long time.
5 / 5 Myrta
Formed: Paperback Ossia the highly recommended read both partorisca people those who are the financial securities but also the general adds has read. Taleb Describes his view in some chances that is too unexpected to included be considered. It thinks 9/11, a financial crisis and an increase of Amazon. An underlying improbability of these chances of black swan is soyispriced'. This human frailties advantage the undervalued or overpriced stock, armed my-adventures, disasters of big stairs. Also the black swans have to that vary widths, the culture that swipe of movements-on effects which are not foreseen in this is not to some levels of pico was of Taleb is 'Fooled For Randomness', is to add it has read.
5 / 5 Jessika
Formed: Paperback has has wanted to any one of some observations roughly innovation and R&D. So much of the innovation is discovered for casualidad. Serendipity.
This rids really will annoy you if you are always totally directed and look for to maintain some distractions to an absolute minimum. A book done the chance partorisca oblige to be receptive to big random chances and when they spend. It classifies partorisca go with one (Tsunami) class of flow of what. An add read on asymmetry in modern life once again. Reason are so only listen on some successful startup histories , and never some lessons have learnt some 99 failures that would be much more useful ??!! This book resupplies some idea.
5 / 5 Selma
Formed: Paperback A book could be two clear times and the averages like this long without compromising accuracy.
An original has thought is of entity and enlightening but any able of such gibberish does not deserve an attention these questions of book.
Easily could find the synthesis adds concepts in Kahneman is 'thinking Fast and Slow' or Tahleb is soyissbehaving' and lose at all of weight.
5 / 5 Kristen
Formed: Kindle the edition has been presented to this book for the mathematician the one who consultor in the risk and the one who have said has renewed his ideas in the risk means. A black swan is the metaphor adds partorisca a class of disaster that sends all lateralmente or have dipped out of existence. In a west all has thinks that that all the swans were white until the browsers expsitos blacks some in Australia. At all in our experience could have directed to guess that black some am existed also. And in the so many take a present for admitted, like the turkeys that enjoys a good life and any while any one any class of the dramatic transmission like the thanksgiving day arrives. Black swans in human life - as 2007 financial crises or September 11 - is scarce, has significant implications and, once view, looks like this unavoidable, or almost unavoidable, consequences that has been it before. Taleb Continuous in to explain as him human prpers likes to convince that we can predict risk and the directed. It consultor More financial be able to sell so the investment plans that then disappoint? Without such faith we no longer dipped any faith in these forecasts of government of largo designates that it has read it all a time? In spite of all his scepticism, Taleb outlines ways to something some classes of risks and as to reduce your exposure. It is a man behind Donald Rumsfeld is 'ignored unknowns' (aka Black Swans). This in spite of, Taleb does his points among some a lot tedious histories - and takes some patience to wade by means of them.
5 / 5 Esta
I summarise a book in a paragraph and then give positive and negative commentary and critiques it the most serious that his message.

Resuman:

Forecasting Is extremely difficult and usually little better that guessing. The majority of experts in of the social sciences, especially finance and economy, overrate his, proclaiming qualified simply does not have ( uses a word 'fraudster' long). It analyses of risk, and in fact all statistical work that confidences of the Gaussian suppositions, no reasons the Gaussian suppositions do not resist further of real world-wide situations, which are @@@subject the 'unknown unknowns'. It quotes an example of the casino the one who mathematical used partorisca control his losses the gamblers but has lost still the plot of money when a irreplaceable the interpreter in his main show was maimed for the tiger, and when the daughter of an owner has been kidnapped. Almost it lose his licence when an irresponsible employee has hid stirs it of returns of tax in planting to file them. These, of course, is some black swans of a title.

A positive:

is easy to read and entertaining, with one involving human touch. His ideas are to a large extent valid and of entities. It is the gain provocative defy the conventional thought and the slap in a face to self-economists that import those who take too seriously.

A negative:

is repetitive and could be be write in 50 pages. For a mid-point, a constant rubbishing of a scientific integer and the community of mathematician likes fraudsters sense like the tiresome rant. To it chairs Them of to end like them listen to a charismatic leader of the religious sect that explains that so only knows a truth and all that has not listened his has been cursed. In fact, an author is even more arrogant that that attack.

Critical:

A world of finance has known for the long time that his models do not leave for black swans. A question is yes to use in existent models the one who read the majority of a time, or some alternative. Taleb Is not to clear roughly the one who his alternative is this in spite of quickly refuses other villages' tentativas to leave for black swans in existing models. It says his method 'develops intuitions of practical', trusts on'kepticism', and esophisticated work', eseeks to be roughly just across the together width of eventuality', esspects that has some guts to say has not been ', and use him soyessy mathematical and computational methods'. Any of of the this is to specify, is apple and cake of just motherhood.

Gives the clue that half to invest. ' Respecto Remote more in a stock market 'promising', particularly a esafe' stock of blue chip, that does in speculative adventures - some forwards represents invisible risks, an offer last surprised very calm of then knows the one who volatile is and can limit your downside to invest the smallest quantities.'

Costs to take the good look in this logic. It is saying that it invests in of the risky advantages but reasons are risky, does not dip any a lot of money in them. Where Dipped a rest of him then? Probably In some stocks of sure blue chips the one who only says does not like. I warn a commentary ' know the one who volatile is'. It spends the majority of a book that predict that it calms does not know never things the one who volatile is. That means here is that it knows is a lot volatile. Reading attentively, his quantities of strategy to this. A phase generally undervalues some risks and overvalues another and, using his intuition, he an opposite for profit other errors of villages. Ossia The approximation of sound . It is also the common and very known a. A hard part is like this to identify some errors. Calm think you can do he to leave for black swans, of models more commercial does not leave for them. But this means in fact is trusting on all these models to exist, albeit in the contrarian way. If all the world there is prendido to use his, his strategy would disappear. It has done a chance that the black swans are of entities and difficult to stops of account. It does not follow that one do one better if that exists the methods were ditched.

Finally, his earthy dismissal of all the mathematics that use the Gaussian distributions is crass. For example it signals out of these words are distributed according to the law to be able to, any Gaussian. Ossia True, this in spite of like this recognition of tongue, and all a tongue has based artificial intelligence that quickly is resulting powerful and useful, is based in mathematicians that use Gaussian distributions in his core.
4 / 5 Carroll
There there is probably the point in here, and has learnt the little on one creating, but too ranty and round. Not to motivate me to finalise. Still it does not know that it is saying that it averts big things ' , unexpected has big consequences , unexpected'
5 / 5 Jacklyn
A 'black swan' the chance is the significant unexpected chance that has enormous consequences - like banking collapse of 2008 or to to the terrorist attack likes 9/11. There is not treat adds to say roughly 'black swan' marry his the once defines - another that that there has calm any a lot of can do to prevent them they so that it is unpredictable. (And you direct to prevent one, any one will know calm prevented it reason does not spend .)

In a course of 400 pages, Nassim Taleb pause amusingly and eruditely in black swans and a human reaction to them, which is not always logical. One the majority of lovely take-was the message is that the history a lot always prepares for some futures - Taleb uses an example of turkeys and Navidad. For the days of thousand, a farmer feeds his turkeys and a turkey think is the man bondadoso any turkeys. Like this when a day of slaughter comes, take the earthy awake. (Navidad of course when being the chance of black swan for turkeys.)

Him them unlimited Time and enjoy philosophical and psychological degressions, and wants to know in Taleb life, probably will enjoy this book. If your time is limited and calm so only wants to know a essentials in black swans, look elsewhere.
4 / 5 Jovita
Has read this book because it was mentioned for Daniel Kahneman thought ' fast and slow'. While a centrical idea is interesting, a way is presented is so only terrible. Nassim Nicolas Taleb does not present a subject, excepts by means of episodes, terms of uses before it writes that his in fact bad and never really explains like his 'theory' the works and a whole thing does not have any structure. A book is full of the lack of respect for more, except his his fellow next plus, is the first example to the equal that to bully another writes. An author judges a quality of books for his smell, I sadly bough a kindle edition, otherwise a stench would have dipped me out of the buy.
4 / 5 Wonda
Are not qualified to comment in a mathematics and philosophical competence of an author. But it looks to know his material. I am reassured for a fact that wins money for commercial using his capacities.

Like such, is the refreshing transmission of some superficial books that expresses surprised for journalists or of the people that there is never has tried in fact his theories in realities.

Assuming is well, a lot of modern finance and in fact thinking roughly highly unlikely (but no impossible) the chances is frighteningly injustice.

For any involved in business, investing (stock, FX, bonds etc) -although ossia so only your own pension -ossia essential reading .

One of one the majority of has thought to cause the books have read for the long time.
5 / 5 Gabriela
Ossia The highly estimated book - roughly dipping he in a cup ten influential more than some last fifty years! A concept of core that all (ours technology, our history, included a fact that the life exists on earth) is shaped for 'Black Swan' (chance of low/incidence of big impact) is surely true. Ossia A plus has bitten of a book and has real impact. Fundamentally it moves a way thinks roughly in some world-wide - is lucky survivors , but in the then build the narrative that somehow was unavoidable that is coming to be here today. And of course, all a material in the financial phases that is built in a pseudo science of renderización of risk and predictability - until in a course of the alone day a lot of thousands millions to a chance spends. It is of entity to be familiarised with these ideas. It Taleb , any entirely convincingly, is the then build the quite rambling book to extrapolate his deep idea to the theory of life and everything. But he no quite work. The life is too short for books that no quite work. There is abundance more while to be read. As I have abandoned of the half way.
5 / 5 Cinderella
Has has wanted to any one of some observations roughly innovation and R&D. So much of the innovation is discovered for casualidad. Serendipity.
This rids really will annoy you if you are always totally directed and look for to maintain some distractions to an absolute minimum. A book done the chance to oblige to be receptive to big random chances and when they spend. It classifies to go with one (Tsunami) class of flow of what. An add read on asymmetry in modern life once again. Reason are so only listen on some successful startup histories , and never some lessons have learnt some 99 failures that would be much more useful ??!! This book resupplies some idea.
4 / 5 Candace
A book could be two clear times and the averages like this long without compromising accuracy.
An original has thought is of entity and enlightening but any able of such gibberish does not deserve an attention these questions of book.
Easily could find the synthesis adds concepts in Kahneman is 'thinking Fast and Slow' or Tahleb is soyissbehaving' and lose at all of weight.
4 / 5 Kiley
Has been presented to this book for the mathematician the one who consultor in the risk and the one who have said has renewed his ideas in the risk means. A black swan is the metaphor adds for a class of disaster that sends all lateralmente or have dipped out of existence. In a west all has thinks that that all the swans were white until the browsers expósitos blacks some in Australia. At all in our experience could have directed to guess that black some am existed also. And in the so many take a present for admitted, like the turkeys that enjoys a good life and any while any one any class of the dramatic transmission like the thanksgiving day arrives. Black swans in human life - as 2007 financial crises or September 11 - is scarce, has significant implications and, once view, looks like this unavoidable, or almost unavoidable, consequences that is it before state. Taleb Continuous in to explain as him human prpers likes to convince that we can predict risk and the directed. It consultor More financial be able to sell so the investment plans that then disappoint? Without such knots of faith no longer dipped any faith in these forecasts of government of largo designates that it has read it all a time? In spite of all his scepticism, Taleb ways of outlines to something some classes of risks and as to reduce your exposure. It is a man behind Donald Rumsfeld is 'ignored unknowns' (aka Black Swans). This in spite of, Taleb does his points among some a lot tedious histories - and takes some patience to wade by means of them.
5 / 5 Carlos
Love this book so much that has bought the copy like the present! All the world knows of the city of Londra has read at least this book, but the a lot of people have read all Taleb books. It does not mean calm need to be the background manager of the fence (I are not !), A book is the perspective adds -changing exercise for any one looking out of a box.

Top Customer Reviews: The Book of Why: ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 27 ratings
4 / 5 Carroll
They are always cautious when the book proclaims partorisca be in the new science. I am adapted of Albert-Lazlo Barabasi is Linked and Stephen Wolfram is the New Class of Science. You the big promises but his often do lacking still to rid, or that is ridding is something that is more the rediscovery more than something new.

Pearl The book is alike. His seen and the methods in the causality is of entity but is not an advance of only possible way although it is convinced that is. That proposes is the new graphic way partorisca look in of the scientific questions that calm leave you partorisca comprise causalities. His black beast is statistical that go likes that has obstructed a development of causal theories partorisca a last century. I owe that declare here that in some ways are the statistician and finds his constant in disposal in roughly statistical the one who bad is while then that uses a same tongue and equations like statistics a bit annoying. It is although some founders like Fisher and Pearson was bullies of bullies and dictators those who directly-jacketed his science in fact a lot of years. But a Bayesians to a large extent there is there undoes deceptions. The statistical is is pedantic, but how is philosophers . Popper Says can so only disprove and never try anything but am quite sure that an Earth goes around a sun. Pearl Is squally pedantic describes that he and will not leave to call the causal inference and creates his typical of doing calculation to represent this. But this has to that be reduced the conditional probability (statistical) to be able to use die to solve.

His diagrams are very useful but again are unconvinced for some tests of completeness offered and for some alleges that is the entirely objective system . It depends in that researchers of the terms dipped in a diagram. Pearl Is although some statistics was too much pedantic and like this excluded querelle causal but try establish his method like this entirely objective I thinks fallen to a same cheat. We owe that accept this science is not never entirely objective. We are restricted always for our tongue, metaphor and a current state of our imagination. This is not to say his method is not the does not advance. It is so only to say alleges too much.

This book has been written to do Pearl seen more accessible and is written with has sawed he-author whose only objective witnesses like an example in the chapter he late plus. The majority of a time is writing in a first person that is odd for the book with two authors. It is biography of part , history of part and part textbook. For one the majority of part has sucedido in his aim but some chapters on counters-factuals and the mediation is to good sure any one an easy bed and need explanations very better. Like this while some ideas are of entities the only no quite rid the in an accessible way.
3 / 5 Jacklyn
First 2 chapters cost but found the hard going then and has given temporarily up. It has done A mathematics of level and the terracing of science but still found a quite hard logic. It thinks that that it is probably necessary data a subject. It relates to a difference among a reasoning and comprising of computer and of people. And reason an empty current is still there and difficult to cross. (Perhaps felizmente!)
5 / 5 Wonda
This is not the book he on causes and effect in of the physics. Instead it say a history og statistician that classical has been separated of cause and effect for his development like the mathematical transformation (a like this called esduction') of the data remarked, independent of as and reason this data has been measured. You are contested some the statistical results would have to that be objective without any intervention in an observational process. Some the resultant correlations can any one, this in spite of, in the say anything he roughly causes and effect. R. One. Fisher Invented (in 1924) a randomized tries controlled partorisca avert the subjective intervention. Ossia An old science of cause and effect.
A definition og the causality is like this of entity, reason determines a direction of time of a future and a past. So only we can agree a past, no a future. Any intelligence (artificial og natural) has to that involve causality. This book is roughly like the new science of cause and effect can be joined the statistics, like the robot with real humanlike the intelligence can be created (finally).
This involves this Google DeepLearning and TensorFlow tin a lot possibly be real intelligence. I am die driven like classical statistician and does not leave causality.
4 / 5 Gabriela
Excellent but difficult bed. It is that it demand it read and to good sure has not comprised all first time around. But there have it enough in there to do me dipped more time to imagine it was.
5 / 5 Cinderella
I have found this book partorisca be informative, a lot-writing and enjoyable partorisca read. As any the one who is coached in traditional statistician I really enjoyed such the clear and enthusiastic account of some possibilities of causal inference.
3 / 5 Candace
I have expected this partorisca be more interesting the resulted partorisca be. The subject add managed by any the one who gave it the plot of has thought. Perhaps an author is so only the mediocre communicator?
4 / 5 Kiley
I owe that admit that I have found this reserves quite weighed in disposal. It is to good sure the subject for some experts or at least some reasonably informed dips person the one who has an interest HAS and complex mathematician. Has some interest in mathematicians but I so only taken bogged down with east. They are sure he is very scholarly and that interest - certainly some link with a development of AY he very pertinent. The computers are a perfect expression of Newtonian physics after all. But a lot all is...
This certainly is the very interesting field of studio - but controls out of the 'inner of look' option before shabby, so only to be sure to go to take something out of him.
5 / 5 Carlos
It has achieved so only an end of Pearl is acclaimed 'Book of Because'.

A lot of rehashing partorisca do, but is quite scarce when the calm text so only points some few possibilities for the morally- touch computational future!

Highly recommended - am curious in of the potential applications, p. p.ej. Implementation of counterfactual algorithms
5 / 5 Trina
has to that admit that I have found this reserves quite weighed in disposal. It is to good sure the subject for some experts or at least some reasonably informed dips person the one who has an interest HAS and complex mathematician. Has some interest in mathematicians but I so only taken bogged down with east. They are sure he is very scholarly and that interest - certainly some link with a development of AY he very pertinent. The computers are a perfect expression of Newtonian physics after all. But a lot all is...
This certainly is the very interesting field of studio - but controls out of the 'inner of look' option before shabby, so only to be sure to go to take something out of him.
3 / 5 Alena
Probably some two sentences will listen more to dispel your feeling of gut in statistical - a that feels that this would HAVE TO THAT have sense, is 'the correlation any indistinta Causation', and 'A plural of the episode is not dated.

Pearl HAS an academic experience to aim that if that arrives near CAN have the report, and that can attach you the scientific value to the alone episode, although it conceal can be small.

His model of causation fulfils one the majority of stringent scientific requirement: it can do verifiable forecasts.

Currency the read, value your sympathetic.
5 / 5 Roseanne
Has found this a enlightening read, expanding my alcohol in a world of AY and the computing to that so much technology has been and is has developed. It is roughly like this accessible like the leaves @@subject but will not be for all the world-wide - need the little internal friki to enjoy something has taken. As with all the theoretical concepts, applying to the real life and a human experience is delicate but the frames so that the cause has thought works.
5 / 5 Wan
An accessible book, thoughtful that comes from valiantly to face the subject metaphysical and relay and complex mathematician he in a 'everyman' narrative. It is the big order but some authors in some attractive whole was and is the refreshing look in an age-old concept of cause and effect. And age-old is- although ruminations in a concept is presented a 21st century as 'new thought', is really revivalism in work. An interesting corner of this book is a AY dimension and for this interested in this zone, has abundance here that eaten of offers for has thought. An ambitious book, useful, well value the look.
4 / 5 Leana
Ossia The book that conjoint was partorisca explain mathematical concepts to a general reader without appealing to mathematician he. Like the mathematical thinker, I although this rids slightly patronising and the little slow in developing his ideas, but partorisca be so only has not been written partorisca me? Developing his ideas in some realms of AY, investigation partorisca involve a base partorisca read wider with his work, without that has to that take by means of the terracing of first mathematical. Unfortunately, it is not compatible and has to that inevitably invoke at least the pocola logical, so the time is speaking with the 'common voice' and in other sounds of time like the mathematician that speaks in the party of cocktail. Partorisca Be just, is treating big concepts and can have had his backside against a wall with a writing of this book in a first place. I have found a lot of some elements of this ideal book soundbites partorisca the modern informative journalist - like this bite it frivolous and imprecise.
This rids is not without value - has the utmost bibliography and has shouted the plot of some subjects that surrounds this @@@subject and his coverage of Torino the costs to try to read, but I only chairs loses a mark to somewhere - is hard to know yes partorisca blame an author or an editor, but think that this fails partorisca achieve a state of the 'gone partorisca reserve' for a subject.
4 / 5 Johanna
Very Researched, very written and practical in joints it of offers can reasonably and practicably follow and has to that be of some genuine help. To good sure value the bed.
5 / 5 Latina
A fascinating book of one of a main world HAS thinkers. Some explanations are utmost and work to all the cost of mathematical capacity. Peppered with episodes and of the pocolos known facts, included the experts in a field can learn something, and some human histories of resplandor of developments by means of. This will be where a breakthroughs of morning partorisca begin.
4 / 5 Fermina
This the skilled work is the quite dour and heavy read unless you are of the philosophical persuasion and enjoy messing roughly with statistics and logical. It describes like the new science, but designated 'causal inference', mine to look as if this escience' has been kicking around time immemorial. With some worries to grow that they are to express in advances and artificial intelligence in programming of computer, looks as if the consideration has inflated now is resupplied when being to create a state of cause and process of effect.
4 / 5 Gabriel
The BOOK OF REASON
=================
An author has written the really well, has thought to cause book. It is accessible in spite of being writing for the professor of UCLA.

Written and apresamiento calm together with his analysis.
'As I king-Génesis has read for a hundredth time, there is remarked the nuance that has had to some way eluded my attention for all these years. ..... For me, these nuances have spent three deep messages. In the first place, that a lot prompt in our evolution, the humans have come to @give that a world is not on so only of dry facts (that it could call it die today), but that these facts are glued together for an intricate web of cause -join -of effect.'
Question Reason?

Had not listened of Bayesian probability before and explains this. Also it explains his investigation to AY. I have been surprised in a level of AY, that thinks that HAS has to that be the advance can drive the car. But it admits that it is not even in a phase of the girl.

Can see reason these hips would be the recommended text in university.
An interesting book and very contested.
5 / 5 Bridget
Has decided early on that it do not go to locate with this book. glielo Have approached to him to me cautiously in all the chance, that comes from/comes from the biogeographical/fund of prehistory. An author is the computer scentist. Technically the computers are stupid and the programmers would owe that produce the together mathematician of instructions to take them to treat perfectly. Ossia The cause and phase of effect. When it Goes wrong (like a programmer divides the number for zero and takes an infinite loop, a computer changes any accidents of a bug or the products results concealed is wrong and any note. Ossia The situation has controlled , although sometimes it is out of control because of poor decisions ( hackable the bits am sotterrato deep in an operating system of original core, a bug of millenium miscount). The real life is not to like concealed. Unfortunately reason the humans are caused easily for doom and gloom causal pronouncements, his succumb to histories of metres of snowfall, eggs of trace of cholesterol (kicks self) and all some contrary studios in of to those causes or reduces cancer. The people are not stuck in bubbles. The life is not to like that unless it find some really big the causal agent likes bad filtered thalidomide or nicotine. An author can very so only assume that, so only reason peppers his has biblical histories and an interpretation of an Upper Palaeolithic figurine with the human organism and the boss of the lion of Stadel Grotto. Basically, it can be the type with the mask of lion in his boss. It does not mean it is any awesome imaginary creature at all. Has bad, reason any one is spent a measure of time he, lost it then. But it is so only then he is saying less than a common plus figurines of chubby/pregnant women of a same period. Sometimes the real life is opened more has finalised.
4 / 5 Angelika
I a lot like this book (PhD in the mathematician Applied) - was too chatty and tried to be the readiest way that need to be. In of the places was unnecessarily divisive and in another spear the ideas without plotting the course of any explanation or comprising. It was particularly he has concerned that he purported to rid enough an impossible and has maintained that rids around an elusive intellectual corner. I am gone through some chapters that expects the find this delivery, so only for a response to a causation subject of correlation to be so much or more elusive with which so that it is not never first that. Some ways of author likes the philosopher to populate (ossia the philosopher the one who is able to communicate using tongue and populist ideas) and certainly has sucedidos in his investigation in one respects (the tongue populate) but failure absolutely in his tentativas in philosophy. Like an example tries to explain something called 'the causation ladder' (a term has not listened never in 25 years of mathematicians) for reference to a quite painful interview among Goddess and Adam. The god has said: ' you eat a fruit forbidden?', Adam has said: 'Eve me he'. The god asks Eve ' Adam that?' And Eve has said 'the serpent, me.' This interview is grossly mischaracterised like the state of subjects where the god asks the facts and Adam and Eve so only give explanations. A truth is that not being any one argues that some words 'he I ' would have to that it has looked before the each one like this of Adam and Eve is tentativas quite exasperated in mitigation and in fact in any rational reader of a do one; it is so only that they are not spoken. The place in a conversation, reason mitigate if you are not blamed? I am fearful that has been once faced thus piece of intellectual trickery I stray confidence in this author and read a rest of a book so only reason any like me to them the unfinished books in shelf of mine of book.
4 / 5 Tari
Have all has listened a correlation of the old “saying is not causation”. Ossia The question for statistics, of then all can measure is correlation. Pearl Here contests that ossia reason the statisticians are restricting too much, and that it is possible to do more. There is no magic; to take this more, has to add something to a system, but that something is very reasonable: the give causal form.

Organises the sound argues that it uses a three-runged “ladder of causation”. In a subordinated rung is statistical pure, reasoning in observations: that is a probability of recovery, found to remark these people those who have taken the drug. A second rung leaves to reason in interventions: that is a probability of recovery, if it was to give these other people a drug. And an upper rung comprises to reason in counterfactuals: that would have spent if this person had not received a drug?

Intervention (rung 2) is different of observation so only (rung 1) reason some observations can be (almost certainly is) of the biassed group: remarking so only that has taken a drug for any reason, perhaps reason were already patient in the particular hospital, or reason were quite rich of the resupply, or some another confounding variable. An intervention, this in spite of, is the different chance: the people are given specifically a drug. A purely statistical way of emotional until rung 2 east to run it randomised test of control (RCT), to take an effect of confounding variable, and like this to do a remarked resulted of the same like results of intervention. A RCT is known often like “model gold” for experimental investigation for this reason.

But here is a thing: that is the confounding variable, and that is not ? To know that to control for, and that to ignore, a experimenter has to that have some class of implicit causal model in his boss. It has to that be implicit, reason the statisticians are not left to speak roughly causalities! This in spite of was necessary to exist to some terracing, otherwise that included know the one who variable to measure, the control only has left stops? Pearl Concurrí To do this explicit causal model, and use he in an experimental creation. Then, with respecting to this causal model now explicit, is possible to reason in results more powerfully. (It does not direct like this to discover this model: ossia the different part of a scientific process, of renderización a world. This in spite of, the observations can have the habit to try a model to some terracing: some models are simply too causally strong to sustain a situation remarked.)

Pearl Uses this frame to aim as and reason a RCT works. More importantly, also tip that is possible to reason in interventions sometimes of observations so only (of me here dates the minors of observations also results more powerful), or sometimes with has controlled less variable, without a need for the plenary RCT. Ossia Extremely useful, of then has a lot if where RCTs is unethical, little practise, or too expensive. RCTs Is not a “model gold” after all; they are basically the dumb sledgehammer approximation. Also tip like this to use a causal model to calculate the one who variable requires to be controlled partorisca, and as controlling for the sure variables is precisely a wrong thing to do.

Using such causal models also leaves to locate to a third rung: reasoning in counterfactuals, where the experiences are in principle impossible. This give tin to reason in different worlds: That is a probability that Fred would have died of cancer of lung if it have not smoked? That is a probability that wave of the heat would have spent with less than CO2 in an atmosphere?

[p51] 'The probabilities encode our faiths in the static world, to the causality says yes and like the probabilities change when some world-wide transmissions, be he for intervention or for law of imagination.'

Ossia The a lot of the book writes amiably, with the real world-wide examples a lot of. Of the shows of historical detail have comprised as and reason to the statistical causality has neglected. It is not always an easy bed – some concepts are quite intricate in of the places – but is crucially of the entity has read. We owe never again it bends to “the correlation is not causation”: maintaining soaps to the equal that to discover when it is.
5 / 5 Lorinda
This is not the book he on causes and effect in of the physics. Instead it say a history og statistician that classical has been separated of cause and effect for his development like the mathematical transformation (a like this called esduction') of the data remarked, independent of as and reason this data has been measured. You are contested some the statistical results would have to that be objective without any intervention in an observational process. Some the resultant correlations can any one, this in spite of, in the say anything he roughly causes and effect. R. One. Fisher Invented (in 1924) a randomized the test has controlled to avert the subjective intervention. Ossia An old science of cause and effect.
A definition og to the causality is like this of entity, reason determines a direction of time of a future and a past. So only we can agree a past, no a future. Any intelligence (artificial og natural) has to that involve causality. This book is roughly like the new science of cause and effect can be joined the statistics, like the robot with real humanlike the intelligence can be created (finally).
This involves this Google DeepLearning and TensorFlow tin a lot possibly be real intelligence. I am die driven like classical statistician and does not leave causality.
4 / 5 Meaghan
Premiers 2 chapters cost but found the hard going then and has given temporarily up. It has done A mathematics of level and the terracing of science but still found a quite hard logic. It thinks that that it is probably necessary data a subject. It relates to a difference among one reasoning and comprising of computer and of people. And reason an empty current is still there and difficult to cross. (Perhaps felizmente!)
4 / 5 Elida
Some do any the work adds to explain the subject difficult. Although in it times it has had to go back a king-read, does not want to be tried in sympathetic the all, or when being able to king-the say.
An idea to draw causual reports, based in hypothesis and leading knowledge, first to submerge the analysis of correlation, to plot of sense. A causual the diagrams are very useful, how is some mediators and confounders concepts.
Has wide examples there of the people that the use given (observations, any based in experiences) to conclude on causalities, where these conclusions can not be done.
More has seen recently a lot of examples to boil fine-to the questions of factor likes him the age- and disparity of gender' to some-questions of factor and marcación his as 'the discrimination explains it all'. Often with base in studios of correlation, without deeper (or still superficial) comprising of confounding factors. A lot of people would benefit to learn a basics of this book. But, as present those who require ethics the courses are not probably to take them, that requires the deep plus that comprises of causality, is not probably to be interested to read roughly that.
One adds read - difficult in time - but to good sure value a time.
Will do my adolescent boys read sections of him, so only to tease his curiosity and open his eyes. Some diagrams are the tool adds for that.
5 / 5 Joy
Has found this book to be informative, a lot-writing and enjoyable to read. As any the one who is coached in traditional statistician I really enjoyed such the clear and enthusiastic account of some possibilities of causal inference.
4 / 5 Caroyln
Has expected this to be more interesting the resulted to be. @It subject to Add managed by any the one who gave it to plot of has thought. Perhaps an author is so only the mediocre communicator?
4 / 5 Raphael
A book is the fascinating creates to causal models. If you are not to mathematicians this in spite of, can be toil in of the places, although value persevering with.
4 / 5 Lanita
Assumes a researcher has Way of Goddess and can build formal causal inference: very scarce in practical and so only suitable for the analysis has controlled highly studios. Any generally useful. Also it reserves to write in a exhaustingly imperious tone.

Top Customer Reviews: Edexcel AS and A ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 1 ratings
4 / 5 Argelia
I have bought this book of the mine other accounts of the amazon and I am @@to give there is the few errors. I assume this has been rushed was.

Top Customer Reviews: Fooled by ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 43 ratings
1 / 5
This book has very little partorisca interest to offer. Besides, it is a lot that nettles that an author incessantly continuous defend his personal opinions, some desquels is a lot picturesque to say a less (the mathematician/of science is bad whole philosophy is well, knows the one who read of stock markets while all the world-wide more is ignorant or misinformed - for formal education, any less, etc, etc,)

Avert this empty piece of fluff and go read 'thinking fast and slow'.
3 / 5
Like an investor I a lot usually read some writings of traders, simply prefer long-investors of term, and find way of practitioners more useful. I have read so only a book because Howard mark informs to an author in his memos (in concrete to an idea of 'Black Swans'). Fulfilling Taleb during a place.

Somehow is trying cause. Cause partorisca call the ugly people, or that says that he enough of then be the janitor. It classifies all the classes of people in all the classes of ways, said of another way, appoint it of call. It uses scarce words, as you owe that consult with a dictionary quite often. It finds pleasant but an information does not transmit any very useful mine, so only the few things here and there.
4 / 5
Have enjoyed this book, something quite different to a type of books I usually read. It liked Particularly of a model has used in casualidad and randomness. I applied it (theoretically) to some casualidad of detection by means of different types of crime (i.et., burglary And murder) when I have given the presentation to some policemen of agents of several forces in UWE the Bristol. Not to think it has agreed with the mine argues. In spite of, comprising these things in the different way his perspective are still optimistic that is the feasible theory on not having prendido-offenders.
4 / 5
I have had my doubts roughly buying this book initially because of some of a hate Taleb looks to take for his fashion. Having has finalised now read this book, will admit that you can take spent the arrogance of an author in some places and spend for big these like this of the simple human defects, calm then will obtain value of his ideas. As they are both the investor of trader of long & term of short term, has found some explanations of real life of some psychological processes of Nassim value of mates of the trader a bed so only. Listening that directed until these traders having such some amazing run over a lot of years and then which caused him to blow on the accounts of companies enables to the investors of small times likes them to avert his mindset.

This was my prime minister Nassim Taleb the book has read, as I can not compare to his two main books Anti-fragile & A Black Swan, although I will be to read this next.
5 / 5
One of one the majority of has thought to cause the books there is not reading never, perhaps one the majority of has thought to cause rid has read. It is really roughly probability, trading psychology and financial instruments. Some deep ideas to as these three things interact. And the one who this half for as it would owe that treat any financial joint or calm calm extracted to trade advantages.
3 / 5
In 2007 I had read Taleb is A Black Swan. A chance of black swan is the highly unlikely chance that is unpredictable , has massive impact and with which is spent, our desire is to do look less random and more predictable that was. Reasons are unable to estimate risk? We simplify, it relates and categorise.
With a meltdown in a world-wide financial system has has felt drawn to read Taleb Fooled for Randomness writes before a meltdown but in the way that the predicts.
His main idea is that the probability is not simple calculation of a odds - is an acceptance of a lack of certainty in our knowledge and of the developing methods to treat our ignorance. It attributes far more the regime that is regulated generally and considers likes to perceive regime. It directs on to the equal that attribute causes to results - only reasons two things spend so many think that a cause another. It accepts that it counts skills, but accounts less in highly the half random means that do in dentistry. Nowhere it is this more obvious that in some phases where listen a contractor has the vision or the trader is talented. Taleb Calculates his action is often further down the casualidad more than skill.
Then to blind follow the phase to locate or he booming tendency without covering his downside in a chance of the random unpredicted conjoint of circumstances, so that they finalise exposed the a lot of loss more adds that his has has accrued profits. Tried by recent chances??
Taleb Prides he on when being an uncomfortable iconoclast and spoils a book for his arrogance and sweeping and disdain of integer swathes of people. I disturbed People those who can not respect his peers.
A book is disjointed and the present like the personal test mainly that pause some thoughts of authors have connected to a practice of risk takes. It is not the compulsive reading but stimulate you to think.
5 / 5
A delicious book of thought of the gentlemen of contemplation and considerable reading. It is the fashion is wonderfully relaxed and has ensured. A subject in a heart of a book is fascinating. An author fantastically explores a subject without recourse to ugly analytics, but instead illuminates his thoughts with the histories coloreadas of some ages that door the life and the joy to that it could be it a exceptionally subject dry. Highly recommended for any, especially that feels controls of the his destiny.
4 / 5
A bit long winded in of the places, but remain a course, opens the new dimension to the daily life that marries of transmissions that looks to be against all a odds or probability. At all it is the one who looks and a crowd and the consensus are has destroyed finally.. Or it has tried bad. As in the life is better to be lucky that list at any rate of entity and leave your ego in a door. It contrives it that it causes - interesting read.
5 / 5
Description a lot well in randomness and to the equal that is concealed for scientific atrocity and the statistical inference based in past data. Calm whose need to be in accordance with an author-controls so only a point done. It is the personal test , no the mix of pieces of magazine. It does not have a lingo of traders, financial economist or MBA professors, but is read easily and has comprised. Prpers Having followed the majority of some famous traders, investors,the economist etc. Was very happy that an author has consulted/has informed a lot of my preferred Shiller, Eastrely, Soros, Buffet, Markowitz, A School of Chicago of economist and a lot another. A book promotes the scientific curiosity and he easily wins read 100 other books.

Is also fill of the jokes scienziathe and does the paralización of people to take science like this seriously or reconsider a prójimo soyodel to break of the earth to price of financial advantages'...
4 / 5
Ossia The writing of bad book . An author enough admits this in his intro. Law like the sloppily has gathered unsorted draft. Taleb Is a lot of plenary of him. And spear in a name of the each philosopher can think of in the support of the each point is doing.

But his basic premise - that randomness is far more significant that more cured of analysts to recognise, and that we are to wire until disbelieve randomness while instinctively falling for anything that looks to the model (thanks to a mechanism of survival has inherited that we can not shake was), is one that there is subscribed always to, as have ploughed by means of him.

Has been spent on any to deface books. But a lot the time has changed to reading with him flourescent yellow highlighter pen manually, marking paragraphs keys to the long of a way. Have Still to reread some sections I marked, but has had many. I do not want to it has to that read an integer shambolic pound again to find them if any marked. Sometimes it looks unsure is done sure signals clearly - he so that has another goes in some of them of the different corner. Also it launches in a social commentary or odd politician or two if strictly pertinent or no.

Like me any the one who prefers concise, has modified closely writings, has found this book that nettles in time. It is arrogant of an author to boasts that we could separate with money for something has not annoyed to properly of the fashion structures the host the one who play a crockery, cutlery and lunch to the table in the heap and leaves his guests to find that requires. But I recommend it this in spite of.
5 / 5
Like an investor I a lot usually read some writings of traders, simply prefer long-investors of term and find way of practitioners more useful. I have read so only a book because Howard mark informs to an author in his memos (in concrete to an idea of 'Black Swans').

Finds Taleb during a place.

Somehow is trying cause. Cause partorisca call the ugly people, or that says that he enough of then be the janitor. It classifies all the classes of people in all the classes of ways, said of another way, appoint it of call. It uses scarce words, as you owe that consult with a dictionary quite often. It finds pleasant but an information does not transmit any very useful mine, so only the few things here and there.
5 / 5
Has had my doubts roughly buying this book initially because of some of a hate Taleb looks to take for his fashion. Having has finalised now read this book, will admit that you can take spent the arrogance of an author in some places and spend for big these like this of the simple human defects, calm then will obtain value of his ideas. As they are both the investor of trader of long & term of short term, has found some explanations of real life of some psychological processes of Nassim value of mates of the trader a bed so only. Listening that directed until these traders having such some amazing run over a lot of years and then which caused him to blow on the accounts of companies enables to the investors of small times likes them to avert his mindset.

This was my prime minister Nassim Taleb the book has read, as I can not compare to his two main books Anti-fragile & A Black Swan, although I will be to read this next.
5 / 5
There is enjoyed this book, something quite different to a type of books I usually read. It liked Particularly of a model has used in casualidad and randomness. I applied it (theoretically) to some casualidades of detection by means of different types of crime (i.et., burglary And murder) when I have given the presentation to some policemen of agents of several forces in UWE the Bristol. Not to think it has agreed with the mine argues. In spite of, comprising these things in the different way his perspective are still optimistic that is the feasible theory on not having prendido-offenders.
4 / 5
An interesting book that has bought to substitute an earlier copy. Have to that be a lot of reason an old copy has been loaned was to the fellow but never received behind! These frames of look of book in apparent randomness in all the classes of zones in the different way. It is the random things or is there the model at random or the reason for them. It has thought to cause. Good vendor also. Thank you..
5 / 5
Informs a lot well in randomness and to the equal that is concealed for scientific atrocity and the statistical inference based in past data. Calm whose need to be in accordance with an author-controls so only a point done. It is the personal test , no the mix of pieces of magazine. It does not have a lingo of traders, financial economist or MBA professors, but is read easily and has comprised. Prpers Having followed the majority of some famous traders, investors,the economist etc. Was very happy that an author has consulted/has informed a lot of my preferred Shiller, Eastrely, Soros, Buffet, Markowitz, A School of Chicago of economist and a lot another. A book promotes the scientific curiosity and he easily wins read 100 other books.

Is also fill of the jokes scienziathe and does the paralización of people to take science like this seriously or reconsider a prójimo soyodel to break of the earth to price of financial advantages'...
4 / 5
Ossia The writing of bad book . An author enough admits this in his intro. Law like the sloppily has gathered unsorted draft. Taleb Is a lot of plenary of him. And spear in a name of the each philosopher can think of in the support of the each point is doing.

But his basic premise - that randomness is far more significant that more cured of analysts to recognise, and that we are to wire until disbelieve randomness while instinctively falling for anything that looks to the model (thanks to a mechanism of survival has inherited that we can not shake was), is one that there is subscribed always to, as have ploughed by means of him.

Has been spent on any to deface books. But a lot the time has changed to reading with him flourescent yellow highlighter pen manually, marking paragraphs keys to the long of a way. Have Still to reread some sections I marked, but has had many. I do not want to it has to that read an integer shambolic pound again to find them if any marked. Sometimes it looks unsure is done sure signals clearly - he so that has another goes in some of them of the different corner. Also it launches in a social commentary or odd politician or two if strictly pertinent or no.

Likes any the one who prefers concise, has modified closely writings, has found this book that nettles in time. It is arrogant of an author to boasts that we could separate with money for something has not annoyed to properly of the fashion structures the host the one who play a crockery, cutlery and lunch to the table in the heap and leaves his guests to find that requires. But I recommend it this in spite of.
5 / 5
Some basic concepts of this book is not new but still the a lot of very read that calm you more conscious in human psychology like knots behave under randomness. All tend to attribute 'good results' to our skills and 'of the bad results' to something more. They Liked him Also of his representations of chances of black swan. Imagine the gun with 1000 chambers and so only a ball. Every time you pull a trigger and survive, volume 1000 USD, otherwise, touch a game? After reading a book, calm also clock and read informative in the data differently that annoying to listen to them at all.
4 / 5
So the words have been written this in spite of can be so only state boiled down to the simple blog-stick roughly like the regime is the thing and a lot all can be anticipated or has calculated.
4 / 5
In the first place stress your alcohol. Secondly Have Google has shot on loan. Thirdly HAS your half that takes note ready. Then begin to read. Read so only the little the time, unless your alcohol can chew lunch of dense conceptual brain. Now it is-read the. It thinks. It marks your notes and Google a city or referenced tin. You are calm months later will surface - probably - wiser and able to comprise and take the daily reverses is of the variac. Minor in the rich model of the life.
5 / 5
Randomness Is not embraced like an explanation for happenings for more than people; probably reason an emotional appearance to be the human is not pleased by degradation of self and external ascent (still a the author admits). If you are interested in a playful appearances of randomness then recommends that it buy this book.
4 / 5
I really enjoyed this book. First of all it has liked him his point of view, which dips advances in the clear and forthright way with dramatic illustrations that has accepted has been based in his experience. Secondly It Has liked Him a fashion that is entertaining more than pedantic. It respects the success of this type and am so only too happy to learn of him. Critics that an author is egotistical, overbearing, unrealistic, uninformative and all a rest of him is wide mine of a mark. If it love the good textbook in of the statistics, no law this book. But masters an exercise in of the skills of the calm life will not be disappointed.
4 / 5
In my opinion ossia Taleb better book and vasdtly better although his more known book 'A Black Swan'. Taleb HAS the a lot of distict way and is not fearful of the say so that the street (the usual narrative is that it is very intelligent and always right and all the world-wide more is idiot), and although this taking bit it too much in time he a lot with account of accuracy for his brilliant ideas and leave you that it wants to result the better person and with the feeling, that that maintains to comprise a world-wide better that before.
5 / 5
Ive Estimated this four reason still is reading. It is the little gem because really it thinks that that a book explains in a 'Law of Regime' contesting roughly causes and effect. Sound the book that is aimed really for a person that touches a Stock market, but could be adapted to a person that behind some horses. He teaches an individual roughly the behaviour and his good/ bad influence do decisions that can or sea a next decision.
4 / 5
Felt after the few pages that had seen all this class to stuff before. At all breathtakingly revelatory, but would not refuse it altogether. For me, no the page-turner.
4 / 5
The book adds of Taleb. Happy has read this an in the first place, clearly are late to a party. On prójimo is black swan.
4 / 5
I really like this book. It is hard to explain an impact partorisca read this book without repeating a lot of his contained, but is doing decisions in your personal or life partorisca do this book will change that calm that partorisca a better.
5 / 5
I really enjoyed this book like me me think roughly probability in a totally different way. A theory of the probability is not intuitive partorisca the humans and he can direct people to some quite irrational streets. Pound very good and well value a bed
4 / 5
has read he travel slope of state in some the Alps. Any surprise of entity in a book, any 'big message', bit it repetitive from time to time. This in spite of, the book is full of short episodes that he the easy fact of the bed, the place has been for the day, read roughly more etc.

A message in a book is probably any eshocking' to any with some fund in a field, neither is a lot of scientist. It feels like Taleb has tried to do the scientific book for a big mass, but failed in his tentativa and stock taken among the little has bitten.
5 / 5
Author very learnt but is written in the far vocabulary too technical and is difficult to follow
4 / 5
Rey Reading this has thought to cause the book even more is that it involves that a 1st raisin
5 / 5
done the a lot of persuasive chance so that often attribute to mean to random chances.
Can never read a newspaper in a same way again.
His pomposity is incredible this in spite of.
Is impressive as to which some chances of some last few years have vindicated his visas.
4 / 5
An excellent dissection of a world of investment and speculation. He weaves it to me more careful of some claims of Investment and background Manager 'Expert'.
4 / 5
I didnt likes 'A Black Swan' so much, as testified by my description partorisca this book. This a this in spite of, liked a lot. It is it adds it read; no too complicated or has lost in detail, a lot entertaining and informative. And without a ego-travesías in 'A Black Swan'.
Would recommend this to any really
5 / 5
Interesting opinion roughly investing. Recommended to read.
5 / 5
His WELL. It describes more which loan Nassim this (IHHO!) It has compared to a rest of us plebs partorisca any understading probabilities or looking TV.
5 / 5
All some reservation written for Taleb is excellent. It changes a way I view a world. My friends say (joking) will fix the meeting of me with Taleb. The reading is one , has discovered also that it likes them Homer and Kavafy of poems. Appearance in a future bed Aeschylus and Thucydides also.
4 / 5
He casualidad Looks partorisca be all beginning in when you are born
4 / 5
The introduction adds the randomness and probability. The book gives an overview of a lot of fascinating fields, comprising theory of perspective. An author is the total of intellectual snob , but does not leave this place were.
5 / 5
This rids certainly causes a reader to king-estimate a esmata' of bankers of traders/of the city, especially in a long period.
An author clearly has the poor opinion of the majority of some types in his line of work.
5 / 5
Well, In calm chance , would invite you partorisca read this book and see for calm the one who deep a hole of rabbit goes. In this chance is not in robot and AY but our very own brains and unconscious decisions that resulted partorisca be highly irrational.
4 / 5
Very complicated. Jumps roughly too much. Hard to follow.
4 / 5
A good bed. Taleb In his better (when still there is enough to say without a need to feign he).
5 / 5
Original reading of a philosophy of 20th century and politician in a light of statistics has applied, wtihout any respect of powers.

Top Customer Reviews: The Black Swan: The ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 30 ratings
4 / 5 Enid
Formed: Paperback I summarise a book in a paragraph and then give positive and negative commentary and critiques it the most serious that his message.

Resuman:

Forecasting Is extremely difficult and usually little better that guessing. The majority of experts in of the social sciences, especially finance and economy, overrate his, proclaiming qualified simply does not have ( uses a word 'fraudster' long). It analyses of risk, and in fact all statistical work that confidences of the Gaussian suppositions, no reasons the Gaussian suppositions do not resist further of real world-wide situations, which are subject the 'unknown unknowns'. It quotes an example of the casino the one who mathematical used partorisca control his losses the gamblers but has lost still the plot of money when a irreplaceable the interpreter in his main show was maimed for the tiger, and when the daughter of an owner has been kidnapped. Almost it lose his licence when an irresponsible employee has hid stirs it of returns of tax in planting to file them. These, of course, is some black swans of a title.

A positive:

is easy to read and entertaining, with one involving human touch. His ideas are to a large extent valid and of entities. It is the gain provocative defy the conventional thought and the slap in a face to self-economists that import those who take too seriously.

A negative:

is repetitive and could be be write in 50 pages. For a mid-point, a constant rubbishing of a scientific integer and the community of mathematician likes fraudsters sense like the tiresome rant. To it chairs Them of to end like them listen to a charismatic leader of the religious sect that explains that so only knows a truth and all that has not listened his has been cursed. In fact, an author is even more arrogant that that attack.

Critical:

A world of finance has known for the long time that his models do not leave for black swans. A question is yes to use in existent models the one who read the majority of a time, or some alternative. Taleb Is not to clear roughly the one who his alternative is this in spite of quickly refuses other villages' tentativas to leave for black swans in existing models. It says his method 'develops intuitions of practical', trusts on'kepticism', and esophisticated work', eseeks to be roughly just across the together width of eventuality', esspects that has some guts to say has not been ', and use him soyessy mathematical and computational methods'. Any of of the this is to specify, is apple and cake of just motherhood.

Gives the clue that half to invest. ' Respecto Remote more in a stock market 'promising', particularly a esafe' stock of blue chip, that does in speculative adventures - some forwards represents invisible risks, an offer last surprised very calm of then knows the one who volatile is and can limit your downside to invest the smallest quantities.'

Costs to take the good look in this logic. It is saying that it invests in of the risky advantages but reasons are risky, does not dip any a lot of money in them. Where Dipped a rest of him then? Probably In some stocks of sure blue chips the one who only says does not like. I warn a commentary ' know the one who volatile is'. It spends the majority of a book that predict that it calms does not know never things the one who volatile is. That means here is that it knows is a lot volatile. Reading attentively, his quantities of strategy to this. A phase generally undervalues some risks and overvalues another and, using his intuition, he an opposite for profit other errors of villages. Ossia The approximation of sound . It is also the common and very known a. A hard part is like this to identify some errors. Calm think you can do he to leave for black swans, of models more commercial does not leave for them. But this means in fact is trusting on all these models to exist, albeit in the contrarian way. If all the world there is prendido to use his, his strategy would disappear. It has done a chance that the black swans are of entities and difficult to stops of account. It does not follow that one do one better if that exists the methods were ditched.

Finally, his earthy dismissal of all the mathematics that use the Gaussian distributions is crass. For example it signals out of these words are distributed according to the law to be able to, any Gaussian. Ossia True, this in spite of like this recognition of tongue, and all a tongue has based artificial intelligence that quickly is resulting powerful and useful, is based in mathematicians that use Gaussian distributions in his core.
5 / 5 Danita
Formed: Paperback There there is probably the point in here, and has learnt the little on one creating, but too ranty and round. Not to motivate me partorisca finalise. Still it does not know that it is saying that it averts big things ' , unexpected has big consequences , unexpected'
5 / 5 Wilford
Formed: Kindle the edition has read this book because it was mentioned for Daniel Kahneman thought ' fast and slow'. While a centrical idea is interesting, a way is presented is so only terrible. Nassim Nicolas Taleb does not present a subject, excepts by means of episodes, terms of uses before it writes that his in fact bad and never really explains like his 'theory' the works and a whole thing does not have any structure. A book is full of the lack of respect partorisca more, except his friends his next plus, is the first example like the bully another writes. An author judges a quality of books for his smell, I sadly bough a kindle edition, otherwise a stench would have dipped me out of the buy.
5 / 5 Earlene
Formed: Paperback A 'black swan' the chance is the significant unexpected chance that has enormous consequences - like banking collapse of 2008 or to to the terrorist attack likes 9/11. There is not treat add partorisca say roughly 'black swan' marry his the once defines - another that that there has calm any a lot of can do to prevent them they so that it is unpredictable. (And you direct partorisca prevent one, any one will know calm prevented it reason does not spend .)

In a course of 400 pages, Nassim Taleb tongues amusingly and eruditely in black swans and a human reaction to them, which is not always logical. One the majority of lovely take-was the message is that the history a lot always prepares partorisca some futures - Taleb uses an example of turkeys and Navidad. Partorisca The days of thousand, a farmer feeds his turkeys and a turkey think is the man bondadoso the one who wants turkeys. Like this when a day of slaughter comes, take the earthy awake. (Navidad of course when being the chance of still black swan turkeys.)

If the unlimited time and enjoy philosophical and psychological degressions, and wants to know in Taleb life, probably will enjoy this book. If your time is limited and calm so only wants to know a essentials in black swans, look elsewhere.
5 / 5 Jenny
Formed: Kindle Edition Ossia the highly estimated book - roughly dipping he in a cup ten influential more than some last fifty years! A concept of core that all (ours technology, our history, has included a fact that the life exists on earth) is shaped for 'Black Swan' (chance of low/incidence of big impact) is surely true. Ossia A plus has bitten of a book and has real impact. Fundamentally it moves a way thinks roughly in some world-wide - is lucky survivors , but in the then build the narrative that somehow was unavoidable that is coming partorisca be here today. And of course, all a material in the financial phases that is built in a pseudo science of renderizacin of risk and predictability - until in a course of the alone day a lot of thousands million to a chance spends. It is of entity partorisca be familiarised with these ideas. It Taleb , any one entirely convincingly, is the then build the quite rambling book to extrapolate his deep idea to the theory of life and everything. But he no quite work. The life is too short for books that no quite work. There is abundance more while to be read. As I have abandoned of the half way.
4 / 5 Hung
Formed: Kindle the edition are not qualified partorisca comment in a mathematics and philosophical competence of an author. But it looks partorisca know his material. I am reassured for a fact that wins money for commercial using his capacities.

Like such, is the refreshing transmission of some superficial books that expresses surprised for journalists or of the people that there is never has tried in fact his theories in realities.

Assuming is well, a lot of modern finance and in fact thinking roughly highly unlikely (but no impossible) the chances is frighteningly injustice.

Partorisca Any involved in business, investing (stock, FX, bonds etc) -although ossia so only your own pension -ossia essential reading .

One of one the majority of has thought partorisca cause the books have read partorisca the long time.
4 / 5 Daniella
Formed: Paperback Ossia the highly recommended read both partorisca people those who are the financial securities but also the general adds has read. Taleb Describes his view in some chances that is too unexpected to included be considered. It thinks 9/11, a financial crisis and an increase of Amazon. An underlying improbability of these chances of black swan is soyispriced'. This human frailties advantage the undervalued or overpriced stock, armed my-adventures, disasters of big stairs. Also the black swans have to that vary widths, the culture that swipe of movements-on effects which are not foreseen in this is not to some levels of pico was of Taleb is 'Fooled For Randomness', is to add it has read.
5 / 5 Sharolyn
Formed: Paperback has has wanted to any one of some observations roughly innovation and R&D. So much of the innovation is discovered for casualidad. Serendipity.
This rids really will annoy you if you are always totally directed and look for to maintain some distractions to an absolute minimum. A book done the chance partorisca oblige to be receptive to big random chances and when they spend. It classifies partorisca go with one (Tsunami) class of flow of what. An add read on asymmetry in modern life once again. Reason are so only listen on some successful startup histories , and never some lessons have learnt some 99 failures that would be much more useful ??!! This book resupplies some idea.
4 / 5 Leanora
Formed: Paperback A book could be two clear times and the averages like this long without compromising accuracy.
An original has thought is of entity and enlightening but any able of such gibberish does not deserve an attention these questions of book.
Easily could find the synthesis adds concepts in Kahneman is 'thinking Fast and Slow' or Tahleb is soyissbehaving' and lose at all of weight.
5 / 5 Mila
Formed: Kindle the edition has been presented to this book for the mathematician the one who consultor in the risk and the one who have said has renewed his ideas in the risk means. A black swan is the metaphor adds partorisca a class of disaster that sends all lateralmente or have dipped out of existence. In a west all has thinks that that all the swans were white until the browsers expsitos blacks some in Australia. At all in our experience could have directed to guess that black some am existed also. And in the so many take a present for admitted, like the turkeys that enjoys a good life and any while any one any class of the dramatic transmission like the thanksgiving day arrives. Black swans in human life - as 2007 financial crises or September 11 - is scarce, has significant implications and, once view, looks like this unavoidable, or almost unavoidable, consequences that has been it before. Taleb Continuous in to explain as him human prpers likes to convince that we can predict risk and the directed. It consultor More financial be able to sell so the investment plans that then disappoint? Without such faith we no longer dipped any faith in these forecasts of government of largo designates that it has read it all a time? In spite of all his scepticism, Taleb outlines ways to something some classes of risks and as to reduce your exposure. It is a man behind Donald Rumsfeld is 'ignored unknowns' (aka Black Swans). This in spite of, Taleb does his points among some a lot tedious histories - and takes some patience to wade by means of them.
5 / 5 Eartha
So that that defines the book that basically is that it says that everything thinks in a potential partorisca a pear shaped partorisca spend your in some point in a future is bad?

Well Leaves partorisca begin with a tone of a book.

Is agressively writing, which is both entertaining and maintains your French looks partorisca take the bit of the kicking from time to time. He so only to to sounds likes him to him a bit writings frustratyion of any those who has is Lighthouse keeper marking a Danger while some ships so only maintain to cruise spent to some rocks.

Is clearly brilliantly researched and referenced and is obviously the complete work of amour, which a reader wants to want to some few ideas also.

Has to that well sure that is not the well advances read has an enormous quantity has packed to 350 odd pages but he well a time and endeavour to take some ideas that NNT is tries to take by means of.

A @@subject a big plus this in spite of is not a reading….Or a be eventual in accordance with that is written is one dipping to practical effect that it is has suggested…. It is a complete transmission in importing place to risk and predictability ossia easy to read roughly and affirm but suspect really much more difficult to dip in place in your newspaper dealings.

Goes to be this in spite of fun trying….. It recommends to have the bed and have try it also.

Perhaps a main thing in a book the Black swan is that perhaps it can be considered his own Black Swan….. It is this reserves his own “highly unlikely compatible chance”?
5 / 5 Loris
Any exactly an easy plus bed (especially some chapters to conclude are quite hard to follow) but resupplies ideas very lovely in a field of forecast and forecasting (any only pertinent for an industry of economy). It paints the quite sinister picture according to which randomness and his ramifications are concerned as well as treating some like this called 'expertise' in several fields.
4 / 5 Ken
This book has changed my thought to the number of subjects (and there is ruined my undergraduate terracing in Economy for me). It thinks his challenge to an epistemological consensus in an application of the statistical models to social phenomena is timely (especially with some touting an idea that HAS can take all human decision that does and to the sinister predict a future in ways that was previously impossible).

But, and has the May, would level three critics:

1) thinks it saying prendido anything new or that interest for the half way by means of
2) thinks Taleb finds the little too self satisfied in time
3) Often a book done some logical errors was of induction that concurrí against (especially in a second the averages of a book).
5 / 5 Grisel
Sometimes is alleged that that writes and profess in his successes, as with a profit of his additional publishing shows. Often I perceive these classes of commentaries are snide or unfair. But no in a chance of Nassim Taleb, the one who has benefited of a class of reader the one who buys his books have based to the recommendations have done of a FT Weekend.

A very done book… a point, and then beat it the death, leaving an anxious reader to anticipate each future 'black swan' not appreciating that for the call was is likes commentary a quantum wave function - i.et. It disperses. Or, if the chance of row comes to spend, any failings the one who ought to aportion to the accountability is brushed has gone by this manager, cry 'oh, but is the chance of black swan .'

A Little information can be the very dangerous thing .
4 / 5 Herman
Written in the fashion that agree of Neitsche, but humorous. They like him all the books of good philosophy, has time when have has had to that take for now to take a concept that is dipped advance.
A paper has the delicious judge of start, background plan and small desert. All desquels can be savoured, more than wolfed down.
Like Wait?
5 / 5 Orlando
Has been given kin in a played & was fascinated so that it take this . An author uses a same literary fashion to those people can not liking but of a message is still fascinating. I owe that confess had some separate which does not think I quite taken but a book is a lot of value an endeavour. To good sure will take another in a series.
5 / 5 Justine
An idea is a lot exciting any subject where cause, as I gave it four stars.
But oh a self satisfies crowing of an author and his gentile collaborations with people consider worthy of his time!
Perhaps is an American thing , but has taken bit it fed up with all when being roughly the, for this one with resisting of the star.
5 / 5 Teodora
There is enjoyed a lot some first chapters of this book: Gentleman Taleb has presented some defiant ideas the science, defiant some in existent tongue and a supremacy of expertism and statistician of our time. Partorisca To to the social scientist likes, is refreshing to plant to start with on some defiant ideas that thinks all scientific social serious graple with.
But to the equal that have finalised a book, have of then Gentleman Taleb never taken further that expresses an idea, and concealed he very superficial.

A second part of a frankly annoyed book, likes Gentleman Taleb falls in a cheat to be a 'empirical sceptic' to all the world-wide but he (ape like the scepticism does not look to apply to his own ideas) and in an end resupplies absolutely at all new to scientific epistemology but he eselfo-developed pseudo-pocket phisosophical explanation roughly like this all would have to that alive life while to an unexpected...
Big informative....
An end is like this a lot disappoints it take all the world-wide looking for the serious challenge to a main epistemology of our time, and Gentleman Taleb histories and arrival of good humour like the financial buble 'Black Swan' this I was certainly a lot while any in a start of a book.
5 / 5 Jettie
Thinks that ossia the very good book , an information is his May a book is drawn extremely was and although a lot of some histories were interesting (mine), some real dice and the rays of an information could be be present in the book the averages this measure.
5 / 5 Elroy
Can see reason a book has done a famous author, his analysis is fantastic and some critiques in place. It has given 4 of 5 to the equal that think that sometimes an author the to repetitive and that while it gives tips to relieved blackswans... It has Thought it it can it has given perhaps further advise or be more elaborate.
4 / 5 Chasidy
I summarise a book in a paragraph and then give positive and negative commentary and critiques it the most serious that his message.

Resuman:

Forecasting Is extremely difficult and usually little better that guessing. The majority of experts in of the social sciences, especially finance and economy, overrate his, proclaiming qualified simply does not have ( uses a word 'fraudster' long). It analyses of risk, and in fact all statistical work that confidences of the Gaussian suppositions, no reasons the Gaussian suppositions do not resist further of real world-wide situations, which are @@@subject the 'unknown unknowns'. It quotes an example of the casino the one who mathematical used partorisca control his losses the gamblers but has lost still the plot of money when a irreplaceable the interpreter in his main show was maimed for the tiger, and when the daughter of an owner has been kidnapped. Almost it lose his licence when an irresponsible employee has hid stirs it of returns of tax in planting to file them. These, of course, is some black swans of a title.

A positive:

is easy to read and entertaining, with one involving human touch. His ideas are to a large extent valid and of entities. It is the gain provocative defy the conventional thought and the slap in a face to self-economists that import those who take too seriously.

A negative:

is repetitive and could be be write in 50 pages. For a mid-point, a constant rubbishing of a scientific integer and the community of mathematician likes fraudsters sense like the tiresome rant. To it chairs Them of to end like them listen to a charismatic leader of the religious sect that explains that so only knows a truth and all that has not listened his has been cursed. In fact, an author is even more arrogant that that attack.

Critical:

A world of finance has known for the long time that his models do not leave for black swans. A question is yes to use in existent models the one who read the majority of a time, or some alternative. Taleb Is not to clear roughly the one who his alternative is this in spite of quickly refuses other villages' tentativas to leave for black swans in existing models. It says his method 'develops intuitions of practical', trusts on'kepticism', and esophisticated work', eseeks to be roughly just across the together width of eventuality', esspects that has some guts to say has not been ', and use him soyessy mathematical and computational methods'. Any of of the this is to specify, is apple and cake of just motherhood.

Gives the clue that half to invest. ' Respecto Remote more in a stock market 'promising', particularly a esafe' stock of blue chip, that does in speculative adventures - some forwards represents invisible risks, an offer last surprised very calm of then knows the one who volatile is and can limit your downside to invest the smallest quantities.'

Costs to take the good look in this logic. It is saying that it invests in of the risky advantages but reasons are risky, does not dip any a lot of money in them. Where Dipped a rest of him then? Probably In some stocks of sure blue chips the one who only says does not like. I warn a commentary ' know the one who volatile is'. It spends the majority of a book that predict that it calms does not know never things the one who volatile is. That means here is that it knows is a lot volatile. Reading attentively, his quantities of strategy to this. A phase generally undervalues some risks and overvalues another and, using his intuition, he an opposite for profit other errors of villages. Ossia The approximation of sound . It is also the common and very known a. A hard part is like this to identify some errors. Calm think you can do he to leave for black swans, of models more commercial does not leave for them. But this means in fact is trusting on all these models to exist, albeit in the contrarian way. If all the world there is prendido to use his, his strategy would disappear. It has done a chance that the black swans are of entities and difficult to stops of account. It does not follow that one do one better if that exists the methods were ditched.

Finally, his earthy dismissal of all the mathematics that use the Gaussian distributions is crass. For example it signals out of these words are distributed according to the law to be able to, any Gaussian. Ossia True, this in spite of like this recognition of tongue, and all a tongue has based artificial intelligence that quickly is resulting powerful and useful, is based in mathematicians that use Gaussian distributions in his core.
4 / 5 Shirely
There there is probably the point in here, and has learnt the little on one creating, but too ranty and round. Not to motivate me to finalise. Still it does not know that it is saying that it averts big things ' , unexpected has big consequences , unexpected'
5 / 5 Graham
A 'black swan' the chance is the significant unexpected chance that has enormous consequences - like banking collapse of 2008 or to to the terrorist attack likes 9/11. There is not treat adds to say roughly 'black swan' marry his the once defines - another that that there has calm any a lot of can do to prevent them they so that it is unpredictable. (And you direct to prevent one, any one will know calm prevented it reason does not spend .)

In a course of 400 pages, Nassim Taleb pause amusingly and eruditely in black swans and a human reaction to them, which is not always logical. One the majority of lovely take-was the message is that the history a lot always prepares for some futures - Taleb uses an example of turkeys and Navidad. For the days of thousand, a farmer feeds his turkeys and a turkey think is the man bondadoso any turkeys. Like this when a day of slaughter comes, take the earthy awake. (Navidad of course when being the chance of black swan for turkeys.)

Him them unlimited Time and enjoy philosophical and psychological degressions, and wants to know in Taleb life, probably will enjoy this book. If your time is limited and calm so only wants to know a essentials in black swans, look elsewhere.
5 / 5 Etha
Has read this book because it was mentioned for Daniel Kahneman thought ' fast and slow'. While a centrical idea is interesting, a way is presented is so only terrible. Nassim Nicolas Taleb does not present a subject, excepts by means of episodes, terms of uses before it writes that his in fact bad and never really explains like his 'theory' the works and a whole thing does not have any structure. A book is full of the lack of respect for more, except his his fellow next plus, is the first example to the equal that to bully another writes. An author judges a quality of books for his smell, I sadly bough a kindle edition, otherwise a stench would have dipped me out of the buy.
4 / 5 Corazon
Are not qualified to comment in a mathematics and philosophical competence of an author. But it looks to know his material. I am reassured for a fact that wins money for commercial using his capacities.

Like such, is the refreshing transmission of some superficial books that expresses surprised for journalists or of the people that there is never has tried in fact his theories in realities.

Assuming is well, a lot of modern finance and in fact thinking roughly highly unlikely (but no impossible) the chances is frighteningly injustice.

For any involved in business, investing (stock, FX, bonds etc) -although ossia so only your own pension -ossia essential reading .

One of one the majority of has thought to cause the books have read for the long time.
4 / 5 Francene
Ossia The highly estimated book - roughly dipping he in a cup ten influential more than some last fifty years! A concept of core that all (ours technology, our history, included a fact that the life exists on earth) is shaped for 'Black Swan' (chance of low/incidence of big impact) is surely true. Ossia A plus has bitten of a book and has real impact. Fundamentally it moves a way thinks roughly in some world-wide - is lucky survivors , but in the then build the narrative that somehow was unavoidable that is coming to be here today. And of course, all a material in the financial phases that is built in a pseudo science of renderización of risk and predictability - until in a course of the alone day a lot of thousands millions to a chance spends. It is of entity to be familiarised with these ideas. It Taleb , any entirely convincingly, is the then build the quite rambling book to extrapolate his deep idea to the theory of life and everything. But he no quite work. The life is too short for books that no quite work. There is abundance more while to be read. As I have abandoned of the half way.
4 / 5 Stella
Has has wanted to any one of some observations roughly innovation and R&D. So much of the innovation is discovered for casualidad. Serendipity.
This rids really will annoy you if you are always totally directed and look for to maintain some distractions to an absolute minimum. A book done the chance to oblige to be receptive to big random chances and when they spend. It classifies to go with one (Tsunami) class of flow of what. An add read on asymmetry in modern life once again. Reason are so only listen on some successful startup histories , and never some lessons have learnt some 99 failures that would be much more useful ??!! This book resupplies some idea.
5 / 5 Enola
A book could be two clear times and the averages like this long without compromising accuracy.
An original has thought is of entity and enlightening but any able of such gibberish does not deserve an attention these questions of book.
Easily could find the synthesis adds concepts in Kahneman is 'thinking Fast and Slow' or Tahleb is soyissbehaving' and lose at all of weight.
4 / 5 Trent
Has been presented to this book for the mathematician the one who consultor in the risk and the one who have said has renewed his ideas in the risk means. A black swan is the metaphor adds for a class of disaster that sends all lateralmente or have dipped out of existence. In a west all has thinks that that all the swans were white until the browsers expósitos blacks some in Australia. At all in our experience could have directed to guess that black some am existed also. And in the so many take a present for admitted, like the turkeys that enjoys a good life and any while any one any class of the dramatic transmission like the thanksgiving day arrives. Black swans in human life - as 2007 financial crises or September 11 - is scarce, has significant implications and, once view, looks like this unavoidable, or almost unavoidable, consequences that is it before state. Taleb Continuous in to explain as him human prpers likes to convince that we can predict risk and the directed. It consultor More financial be able to sell so the investment plans that then disappoint? Without such knots of faith no longer dipped any faith in these forecasts of government of largo designates that it has read it all a time? In spite of all his scepticism, Taleb ways of outlines to something some classes of risks and as to reduce your exposure. It is a man behind Donald Rumsfeld is 'ignored unknowns' (aka Black Swans). This in spite of, Taleb does his points among some a lot tedious histories - and takes some patience to wade by means of them.
5 / 5 Vella
Love this book so much that has bought the copy like the present! All the world knows of the city of Londra has read at least this book, but the a lot of people have read all Taleb books. It does not mean calm need to be the background manager of the fence (I are not !), A book is the perspective adds -changing exercise for any one looking out of a box.

Top Customer Reviews: Discovering ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 38 ratings
4 / 5 Antionette
Formed: Kindle the edition rid dipped Quite comprehensible for any one doing in some social sciences ... Or any one doing statistical with SPSS thus subject! Has personal copies of one 3rd, 4th and now 5th edition ... 'nuf Has said! Also I have a R book ...
A 'quite comprehensible' so only reflects that a book is for an advanced undergrad to estaca initial-grad, IMO.
5 / 5 Stephenie
Formed: Paperback That can say, of a first page knows goes partorisca love this book, the subject complex, much easier to comprise.
4 / 5 Keila
Formed: Paperback If yours battling SPSS then this book is essential...
5 / 5 Elmo
Formed: Paperback Good and clear writing and concise.
4 / 5 Malika
Formed: Paperback all the books in complex theory has been written humorously like this, the statistician of investigation would have been he takes all the world has has not selected intellects. The field has to that fact fielded investigation stat all of him.!
4 / 5 Micheal
Formed: Paperback A book has arrived promptly. The book of Andy Field is an absolute must loves anything with SPSS.
4 / 5 Jennette
Formed: Paperback Understandable has known this was the book
5 / 5 Elliott
Formed: Paperback Punctually hands, good packaging. Brilliant book, mark really statistical in interesting
4 / 5 Wanetta
Formed: Paperback No like this useful as I have thought. Calm has not joined the majority of creation or simplistic explanations of book.
4 / 5 Melanie
Book dipped quite comprehensible for any one doing in some social sciences ... Or any one doing statistical with SPSS thus subject! Has personal copies of one 3rd, 4th and now 5th edition ... 'nuf Has said! Also I have a R book ...
A 'quite comprehensible' so only reflects that a book is for an advanced undergrad to estaca initial-grad, IMO.
5 / 5 Judy
That can say, of a first page knows goes to love this book, the subject complex, much easier to comprise.
4 / 5 Contessa
If yours battling SPSS then this book is essential...
4 / 5 Darron
A reservation of only Statistics concealed helped me comprise statistician
5 / 5 Jack
all the books in complex theory has been written humorously like this, the statistician of investigation would have been he takes all the world has has not selected intellects. The field has to that fact fielded investigation stat everything of him.!
4 / 5 Jenice
A book has arrived promptly. The book of Andy Field is an absolute must loves anything with SPSS.
4 / 5 Numbers
Punctually hands, good packaging. Brilliant book, mark really statistical that interest
4 / 5 Stephan
No like this useful as I have thought. Calm has not joined the majority of creation or simplistic explanations of book.
5 / 5 Loreta
A heavy and long book. I have learnt the plot in statistics. Any so only practise it spss drives.
4 / 5 Tasha
The majority of useful (and hilarious) book of statistician never - 100 recommends.
5 / 5 Kristyn
Fantastic creation and an inspiring way to learn statistician :)
5 / 5 Marcie
A book too much along writing in the childish fashion emloying a lot of examples bobos sometimes included boarding in an obscene. This in spite of, down all one craps an author shows the deep comprising of a subject.
4 / 5 Katheleen
Ossia An exceptional book . The statistics is not all the world is cup of the tea but I have has had always an interest, used partorisca be an analyst my military days and has then directed the crew of analysts in the telephone banking operation before retreat. Andy Field has written the glorious book, leaving any bone unturned and presenting it all in the a lot of readable, organised and clear way.

Averts of a preface and introduction of the rests of book to 21 chapters have followed of an usual epilogue, apêndice, glossary and references. Some chapters cover everything of a basics to multilevel the linear models and a book is presented in the way coloreada, clear. Each starts of chapter were with the section has titled “That this admonishes said me?” – The page surrounds humorous that it is roughly partorisca cover, clue for a lot of short sections , acute writings in of the clear English and has explained perfectly. The desire had had this like the reference when he my university courses and that run a crew of statistician.

Some pages are quite thin and printed in the shiny paper with illustrations coloreadas a lot of – was any fatter a book would be like the double sized telephone directory ( is in the pages of thousand). Obviously a book is aimed specifically in IBM SPSS users of software but an information, the technicians and the methods of the analysis of data is universal and this pound will seat well in any library of analysts. I have been sent this book to revise and with which have done to finalise with the professor of mathematical colegiala secondary likes part of his resource of long teaching.
5 / 5 Lora
Are in two alcohol in of the this:
In one a hand, Andy Field has the special present to teach statistician in an accessible way that the frames looks easier that very others - dry - books.
This in spite of, does not take to yearn me to take fed up with his adolescent self driving by means of some teachings!

A good intro that could help explain sure zones where other lacking books, but be ready to be driven by the brain of adolescent boy
4 / 5 Elma
can not recommend this book highly enough. Andy Field really knows that it is speaking roughly, but more importantly comprises like this to communicate in the ape and involving way. The statistics and the entertainment a lot usually go joints, at least any for me, but this reserves really is enjoyable and interesting. To use the series of characters (p. p.ej. Alex Prompt the one who explosions until asking questions, and Cramming Sam those who summarises aim keys to bite-measure chunks ossia easy to use for cramming first of examinations), pleasant episodes and interesting examples, a text promote to spend statistician to learn of the time and does not look to cry it. Ossia Something the lacking alike texts to achieve. Although Andy Field is the psychologist this book has not limited in his application how is appropriate by means of all the disciplines and I think all undergraduate students really profit to use this text.

Has 21 chapters in disposal of a general introduction and reasoning behind reason the statistical is like this of entity by means of the multilevel linear models. This house of book in an use of IBM SPSS (other versions are available for SAS and R) and has really gain screenshots and any to any instruction to treat analysis or produce the graph/diagram in a software. Calm does not need the fund in of the statistics or using SPSS to be able to use this book to the equal that begins of scratch. The terminology is explained clearly in an easily understandable level and some progresses of book by means of the each chapter in the manageable step. You can dip in and out of a book, but has been drawn more like the travesía like this ideally would owe that be read to start with to finalise. Really it appreciates an use by heart during a book and think this he also the fact more involving.
Besides, in fact take so more than just ossia also resorted on-line to help you work by means of examples and resupply additional information p. p.ej. Die, powerpoint slides, youtube video and link to other pertinent places. Long, the energy and the thought has gone to the east.

Highly recommended!!
4 / 5 Piper
There is well and bad points in this book. It covers an impressive row of statistical technicians and apresamiento calm of one a lot beginning to a level advanced with the explanations clears enough that any with a right skill could go all a way by means of without assistance. Although it is drawn for SPSS (that it can download it free), some explanations are mostly independent of a software like calm neither could use he for just comprising some concepts or like the formation in SPSS.

A downside is that it tries too hard to be entertaining. A humour is often bobo and distracts it, and the considerable quantity of the urban nails textuel is squandered on entirely irrelevant digressions. Sometimes a humour can detract of a substance. Look In this sentence:
'Come from Statistic for Wilcoxon is [W changed to R] row-try-of sum [r changed to w, doing the earthy word]. It sees that I there? It does not import reason any law this page'.

Has thought is has had thanks to the start but after the while this class of what to be funny and results to annoy. More importantly, interferes with a learning. You look in 'Rilcoxon' and is not sure state at the beginning if this was the different test of a Wilcoxon tries. A reader unfamiliar with Wilcoxon easily could have drawn a wrong conclusion or the result have confused. A book is littered with supercilous distractions that goes in a way to learn and adapt me the one of the charming boy the one who is enamoured like this with him that yours experiences to dine resulted all roughly lucido more than a conversation has loved to have with your partner.

In general there is enough that bad in a book. An author comprises a @@@subject well and study it to him diligently will do like this also.
5 / 5 Renita
The book of Andy Field is resulted a text in fact partorisca any that insignia the course of university statistician that use SPSS. The field comes from/comes from the fund of the psychology and he have struggled initially with some mathematical foundations until his brother have helped to aim that it is not like this hard as it looks. Ossia Reason a lot the students finds a way writes in the accessible and accessible statistics. It uses examples of his life to do it much more significant to a reader and averts a dense mathematical theory that some textbooks use. There are a lot of illustrations and uses the text boxed illustrated with characteristic different of readers, likes a bit the experts want to know more, or the newbie user for cutting to some principles of core to use SPSS.

This book is 100 SPSS directed like this he uses another software then this rids will not return your course. A new version of SPSS will comprise/ comprises Bayesian approximations as of the alternative to Try of Hypothesis. This will be the significant zone for the future development and is good to see this has covered here. Where Slightly disagree with a presentation is his use of a GLM1, GLM2 etc. Annotation as I do not know any more the one who uses it. We break roughly regression, correlation, ANOVA, ANCOVA, has Repeated Measure ANOVA, MANOVA and Logistic Regression. They are examples of generals of linear models or the linear models generalised and suppose that SPSS is dipped-on this way but we more generally use other terms.
4 / 5 Vernetta
SPSS Is around be for the years of the ass and has been a test of time. I can agree that it has to that treat he on done 30 years in university (has not had any thought that has done and has required sustains!) - But it was well in his work, as they are adds to see is still very alive - and that there is now so more support so that they require to use he for his investigation. And this book is more certainly an excellent source of support. He no only softly calm career by means of the each appearance of SPSS, also walks calm by means of statistics and a need for them. It is created especially partorisca to to the university students likes was, of the that is horrified in some have thought that that they have to treat like this mathematical. It is the very well rid structured and very comprehensible, aimed takes calm of a basics, dulcemente and firmly, with information and a lot of explanation, to some dark depths of statistical - and out of another side, educated and enlightened - and sure. Included after all these years could comprise a lot easily. My granddaughter is beginning was the Joined in an autumn, to study anthropology, and will have any hesitation send this excellent book with his to sustain his in his studios.
5 / 5 Melissa
The statistics was a part of mine first terracing of mathematics that displeased more, as I found them a lot particularly that it interest, and has preferred other fields of studio. This in spite of to mine likes has grown on some years, so much so that I now read in statistics and a theory for behind his in the each occasion. A better thing can say roughly the book of the field of Ladies is that the desire had been he around done 25 years when it was the student . It begins it explain basic concepts, and then movements to the technicians of renderización anticipated that it press any the one who is not already reasonably a lot-versed in statistics. Ossia Quite regulate for such the book of text, but to the as really it likes me is of a humour has inserted to a sometimes dry material, which really maintains one in disposal. Whilst Perhaps are not an audience of objective partorisca east, can see that in mine undergraduate (and postgrado) the days would have appreciated this that) the half to break on a material, and b) the half to the help agrees things -- like this in 'oh he, has read roughly that, and agree it reason owe joke in x'. If you are after the comprehensible introduction (and no-like this-introduction) the statistics, then this book is essential reading . Four stars.
4 / 5 Leopoldo
More probably a better SPSS book to help undergraduate (and Masters) students of Psychology cruised a SPSS software of statistician, written by any with the deep knowledge of statistics. This has been a recommended text in the number of programs of Psychology of the United Kingdom for SPSS/statistical for the long time now and can comprise reason - is thorough, but writing in a way to involve with humour and a lot of interesting examples, which the fact anything but an usual dry SPSS drives/manual. Like the tool for the researchers that use SPSS is also useful because of a detail goes his, although the researchers are more probably to be nettled that impressed by a humour and quirky character of some of a content, which in looks to time to be the vehicle to promote the cat of an author and musical career ! Still, for his audience has feigned, undergraduate students in a British system that Psychology of studios, this remains one the majority of accessible and detailed SPSS drives, and is a lot of the see regularly up to date and resupplied with abundance of additional on-line resources.
5 / 5 Georgette
Andy Field is scarce among textbook authors in that clearly can give an essence of the subject complex, whilst doing some looks to learn has amused.

This new edition of his (now classical) statistic textbook is packed with fun images, examples, and entirely of irreverence - as well as hard and touch statistical reasoning.

Is beginning Was with statistics, love the fun way to learn, and is not postponed for the bit of odd humour, ossia to good sure a book for you.
4 / 5 Inez
Well Dips was and a book of accessible text so that statistical of need in his work.(For example in medicine)

is almost an anthology of statistics, and although it is big is easy to read and included quite enjoyable.
HAS utmost examples that is interesting. Memories some examples also.

Does not go to feign that he he easy but is a first accessible book has found in this field.
5 / 5 Glen
I statistician of hate (in fact am not sure that has fulfilled any one this doesnt) and as having anything concealed can do use his less painful I wholeheartedly sustains. This book is one of these things and was a saver of absolute life while he my undergrad terracing. Highly recommend
4 / 5 Jolanda
A 5th review of this statistics of frames of accessible glorious book and interesting. A book is written particularly for use with IBM SPSS, but is very useful standalone. Some examples, text, the images are incredibly clear and easy to use. He entertainment of statistics.

Is the enormous book - printed in lustrous white paper, doing it a lot of readable. A paper is thin, otherwise a book would be a-luggable!
4 / 5 Le
This book is a lot well, a lot-writing and quite pleasant in time. There is a lot of self the tasks can treat in the each chapter, and some solutions can be found on web page for a book. Calm also can look videoes in a lot of some difficult parts of one reserve like him the easiest fact to comprise. If it wants to learn SPSS this book is one of a better - at least for my experience!
4 / 5 Yolonda
Another book of excellent statistician for Andy Field. Like this always, there is humour during this book with abundance of references of cat to maintain lovers of happy cat. Andy has an excellent way to describe statistical complex in the fun and easy to comprise way. For me, an author of better statistician to resist your interest and the helps comprise.
4 / 5 Corie
A really very written, clear, any to not driving to both GLM has oriented statistician and SPSS. An only downside is that a SPSS is the container of toneless statistician has compared to R or Estada, but partorisca the students is mostly free by means of diagrams of university software, like the no good prime minister.
5 / 5 Verlene
Has to that it uses SPSS partorisca my course of the biology and I often can take garbled when that looks for to apply statistician. Lovely book that mark an easy whole process partorisca comprise and does not take too seriously, help it massively to the students like him of the that the stress was easily.
4 / 5 Raquel
Really useful and easy to comprise. Saved me in my statistic examinations.

Top Customer Reviews: The Maths Book: Big ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 18 ratings
4 / 5 Arica
Formed: Hardcover Another excellent edition of DK, the one who always quality of product a lot-works of fiction. Ossia An excellent prime minister partorisca a subject and very very drawn and balanced in content. It was partorisca consult this in fact a lot of years partorisca come, together with all some another in a series!
5 / 5 Tari
Formed: Hardcover A Book of Mathematician: the Big ideas Simply Explained Hardcover 5 Sep 2019

A book.
Ossia The formed again drawn in a DK row and part of the main series. This pound explores the mathematics and is concepts.

Draw.
Likes all DK the books is well has thought was with a lot of examples and of the illustrations. It is book of history of the part and explanation of part of as each technician is used today. There is a lot of photo by heart and diagrams partorisca help with a text.

Audience.
Is partorisca any the one who is interested in mathematicians and some people and concepts for behind the. I have it enjoyed read the but are quell'has bitten biased to the equal that loves mathematical and anything to do with numbers really. It likes him-me the puzzles and that classifies of what. I can see the brilliant primary girls that takes the plot of this book but he also will appeal to adults with the step intertest in a subject.
A text is the little dry in the places but is hard to take some of some concepts by means of succinctly but chairs Parker kills has done operates it quite well in general.

In general.
Another book adds in this series to evolve of DK. Has-liked me the launch hand of the and feel any with the interest of any in the mathematicians will find it fascinating.
4 / 5 Lorinda
Formed: Hardcover was quite misled for a description of product: has thinks that that this was the 'to the equal that to do mathematical' book; but it is not - it is the history of mathematics. But, this in spite of, this was my failure and this is looking for to be very interesting in fact. I seat that it is like this as well as it can be in his subject for the young audience. Some authors have kept well behind to a ancients and cover all the ideas that import well until a moderns. All this is to do with an usual upper quality DK illustrations and, as with everything of his his books new plus, abundance of information, doing for the a lot informative book and appeal in fact. If has the youngster the one who is enthusiastic in mathematicians, then will want to this for the anniversary or Navidad. Surely motivate them to undermine never deeper to this fascinating, of entity and - for his future - field very useful.
4 / 5 Meaghan
Formed: Hardcover am not a lot well in the mathematicians but am interested in him and the human history and some two things are inextricably has linked. I find things like Numberphile fascinating like this this 350 book of page that human of progresses of the maps in all the Mathematical things for chronological order is well on my street.
Start in some reasons partorisca purchase the system of number and Mathematician partorisca leave that it builds structure like this of the Pyramids, one registering of people partorisca pay for them and organising of stock and alimentary to feed some workers to the cryptography used in of the things and of the modern computers like Bitcoin.
Has no the found the dry book, although partorisca me some of some ideas were partorisca struggle to comprise, is writing very good and tries to explain all some ideas like this simply like this possible, still explain as ours bases 10 system partorisca number law. Has copious pictures and diagrams each section has the reference of cross in an upper to another has has linked ideas in a book that leave to toe behind and advances partorisca take one the majority of sympathetic.
Has surprised like the plot that thinks of Mathematics like this modern has been developed or has discovered well he on done 3000 years and has been built to on some years partorisca have sucedidos.
Would recommend this to any the one who has a slightest interest in a subject subject. If you the unbalanced mathematician would give to lose it.
4 / 5 Raphael
Formed: Hardcover Sigh - usually enjoyed the book of good history but a history of Mathematics and theories? This is extending some flanges of the as my little brain can accept. Quite only - a presentation of a book is excellent and to his credit DK and an author has tried to do a book that interest but seriously - the one who is an audience to aim here? A subject subject is quite dry to begin was with and he so only appeal , help was here - the one who appeals to? It runs - no spent unless you have taken loaned the copy or seen he in the tent of book and calm believed in fact to that likes. To Any bear to give like of the present in any one!!! In short - is really well in mathematical - reason calms does not learn a plus end workings of poker - will look you to him better in a long career.
5 / 5 Lanita
Formed: Hardcover Adds so that mathematical of amour. It likes-me the mathematics, but partorisca me I flicked by means of and read roughly some mathematical concepts that had listened of and has learnt roughly and some that no never has listened of, but has not gone really sucked in partorisca maintain reading. This in spite of, my edges was immediately captivated and has begun partorisca undermine in a book, absolutely loves that! (So only it can mention that my edges there is Asperger is, like the mathematician is one of his things!)

A book is chronological, in that begins half ages and a mathematics and mathematics then, all a way to now. It is class of the history of mathematics, and some people those who has has discovered things, but also explains some concepts with illustrations. For example, has all listened of a history of a man the one who tricked a sultan to give the grain of rice for a first place of the joint of failures, bending he for a next place and spending on until an end of a joint of failures, and in a book in fact has the picture of a joint of failures with a number of grains of rices in the each place.

An explanatory book really well for mathematical concepts, but is sure that a person the one who reads it really likes mathematical!
4 / 5 Carlton
Formed: Hardcover Ossia the book adds , love a DK row and in fact expected (or anticipating) the emission of the mathematical book based in a row of sciences of a 'book' row. I do not know an order of precise publication but he always bondadoso of amused that has seen to titles him to it 'likes the book of film', 'the sherlock holmes book' and 'the book of feminism' before 'the book of mathematical', especially of economy, history, science, the philosophy and the psychology had been already layer.

Can be partorisca do with popularity or the one who the people can think that that they would enjoy or find interesting but this reserves really is the addition adds to some serious and like this easy to read and comprise, partorisca the really interested reader, as another in a series.

In the first place the commentary in a format, a DK the row of Book has the very good contents, structure, indication, references and page for balance of page of illustrations, text, inset quotations, contextual notes, lines of time and map of flow like diagramatic or infographic presentation of a basic information. In this book some progresses of contents an essentially chronological time line more than topicagraphic or to the to anything likes that, of again, ossia resembled other titles in a row, know a serious will know it partorisca expect and not being disappointed thus book. If you are new to a row thinks that resupplies the resource adds is researching or bent partorisca read the little from time to time and is looking for something especially more than covering to cover. A progress of contents of anticent and classical period; some half ages; a renaissance; an illustration; a 19th century; modern mathematician and there is the directory; glossary (particularly the useful mine has found); indication; quotations and acknowledgements.

This rids is not all the equations and he can or can not help with pure mathematical studios, has not been , that knows is that I have selected another law first now (likes one teach serious, which is well in his own way) but has found has not resisted my attention to the equal that along (with that is subject difficult or defiant and ideas partorisca me sometimes) like this the book has done.

Are the defender of some serious and think that is partorisca say the addition adds , having an interest in mathes in a wide sense of the general reader taste this reserves the plot also. If it have had the sooner in the life can have sparked an interest that some professors have had and the schooling of mathematics has received well the quash quite quickly.
5 / 5 Genevie
Formed: Hardcover is surprising mathematical that interesting is, once already calms does not have to that do examinations of institute. Ossia The lovely book of DK - is basically the history of mathematics. As you would expect of DK, is drawn fantastically and illustrated - and in spite of being in mathematicians, is very accessible and easy to comprise, included partorisca to to any one him me like the one who has not studied mathematician in of the decades. For real it is the fascinating the book and I have learnt a terrible plot already and are so only the few chapters in. Included some appearances of mathematicians (likes probability) that I absolutely hated in colegiala is resulted the source of interest more than abhorring. The mathematics for real is the beautiful subject - and is the shame generally does not take partorisca discover that in colegiala.
5 / 5 Giovanna
Formed: Hardcover Fantastically dips was, this whistlestop recognition of mathematical history directs partorisca do the accessible complex ideas without dumbing down a fashion partorisca write. They are the student of leading arts and has felt always daunted for mathematicians, but finds this reserves really fascinating and now can comprise why some habladura of people in a beauty of numbers. Ossia The book concealed me interested in something has not had any interest in, which is a More the add compliment can give.

A book is suitable partorisca adults and of the adolescents with an interest in a subject.
4 / 5 Renda
Formed: Hardcover He has any of a DK books in this row or explore in any of them in the tent partorisca reserve then will know a format and that type of information will be in this book. It is not the book that teaches calm roughly mathematician for , is more interesting while, details some people, social and political history and evolvement of mathematics. A creation is well with this different painted and sized expensive of type and covers the big spectre in an accessible way. An a lot of very random read.
4 / 5 Iraida
So only I love this series. Has quite everything of them excepts sherlock Holmes. It is so only to have this class of books that simply explain material in measure of bite chunks.
4 / 5 Raymonde
Another excellent edition of DK, the one who always quality of product a lot-works of fiction. Ossia An excellent prime minister for a @@@subject and a lot very drawn and balanced in content. It was to consult this in fact a lot of years to come, together with all some another in a series!
4 / 5 Griselda
Good book for some people that chair his prelims in Mathematicians
4 / 5 Shela
am not a lot well in the mathematicians but am interested in him and the human history and some two things are inextricably has linked. Meeting to the things like Numberphile fascinating like this of this 350 book of page that human of progresses of the maps in all the Mathematical things for chronological order is well on my street.
Start in some reasons to purchase the system of number and Mathematician to leave that it builds structure like this of the Pyramids, one registering of people to pay for them and organising of stock and alimentary to feed some workers to the cryptography used in of the things and of to the the modern computers like Bitcoin.
Has no the found the dry book, although for me some of some ideas were to struggle to comprise, is writing a lot good and tries to explain all some ideas like this simply like this possible, still explain as ours bases 10 system to number law. Has copious pictures and diagrams each section has the reference of cross in an upper to another has has linked ideas in a book that leave to toe behind and advances to take one the majority of sympathetic.
Surprised like the plot that thinks of Mathematics like this modern has been developed or has discovered well he on done 3000 years and has been built to on some years to have sucedidos.
Would recommend this to any the one who has a slightest interest in a subject @@@subject. If you the unbalanced mathematician would give to lose it.
4 / 5 Arletha
Was quite misled for a description of product: has thinks that that this was the 'to the equal that to do mathematical' book; but it is not - it is the history of mathematics. But, this in spite of, this was my failure and this is looking for to be very interesting in fact. I seat that it is like this as well as it can be in his subject for the young audience. Some authors have kept well behind to a ancients and cover all the ideas that import well until a moderns. All this is to do with an usual upper quality DK illustrations and, as with everything of his his books new plus, abundance of information, doing for the a lot informative book and appeal in fact. If has the youngster the one who is enthusiastic in mathematicians, then will want to this for the anniversary or Navidad. Surely motivate them to undermine never deeper to this fascinating, of entity and - for his future - field very useful.
4 / 5 Janelle
A Book of Mathematician: the Big ideas Simply Explained Hardcover – 5 Sep 2019

A book.
Ossia The formed again drawn in a DK row and part of the main series. This pound explores the mathematics and is concepts.

Draw.
Likes all DK the books is well has thought was with a lot of examples and of the illustrations. It is book of history of the part and explanation of part of as each technician is used today. There is a lot of photo by heart and diagrams to help with a text.

Audience.
Is for any the one who is interested in mathematicians and some people and concepts for behind the. I have it enjoyed read the but are quell'has bitten biased to the equal that loves mathematical and anything to do with numbers really. It likes him-me the puzzles and that classifies of what. I can see the brilliant primary girls that takes to plot of this book but he also will appeal to adults with the step intertest in a subject.
A text is the little dry in the places but is hard to take some of some concepts by means of succinctly but chairs Parker kills has done operates it quite well in general.

In general.
Another book adds in this series to evolve of DK. Has-liked me the launch hand of the and feel any with the interest of any one in the mathematicians will find it fascinating.
5 / 5 Amanda
Sigh - usually enjoyed the book of good history but a history of Mathematics and theories? This is extending some flanges of the as my little brain can accept. Quite only - a presentation of a book is excellent and to his credit DK and an author has tried to do a book that interest but seriously - the one who is an audience to aim here? A subject @@@subject is quite dry to begin was with and he so only appeal , help was here - the one who appeals to? It runs - no spent unless you have taken loaned the copy or seen he in the tent of book and calm believed in fact to that likes. To Any bear to give like of the present in any one!!! In short - is really well in mathematical - reason calms does not learn a very more workings of poker - will look you to him better in a long career.
4 / 5 Joni
Adds so that mathematical of amour. It likes-me the mathematics, but for me I flicked by means of and read roughly some mathematical concepts that had listened of and has learnt roughly and some that no never has listened of, but has not gone really sucked in to maintain reading. This in spite of, my edges was immediately captivated and has begun to undermine in a book, absolutely loves that! (So only it can mention that my edges there is Asperger is, like the mathematician is one of his things!)

A book is chronological, in that begins half ages and a mathematics and mathematics then, all a way to now. It is class of the history of mathematics, and some people those who has has discovered things, but also explains some concepts with illustrations. For example, has all listened of a history of a man the one who tricked a sultan to give the grain of rice for a first place of the joint of failures, bending he for a next place and spending on until an end of a joint of failures, and in a book in fact has the picture of a joint of failures with a number of grains of rices in the each place.

An explanatory book really well for mathematical concepts, but is sure that a person the one who reads it really likes mathematical!

Top Customer Reviews: The Signal and the ...

Rating: 4 out of 5 with 52 ratings
5 / 5 Minnie
Been born I money has done a estupefaciente (and, enough possibly an unpredictable) what with A Signal and a Noise. It has written an extremely good book when very still has to that. At all it is more common that arrest him to any one likes the money-some half comunicacionales phenom with the strong program (his 538 blog) to create the book to touch in in his 15 minutes. I have read probably two books of dozen in a past five years that he exactly this. But A Signal and a Noise is the much more substantial book that, said, A Black Swan or any of a Freakonomics offerings.

Is that diverse wide, in-look of depth in some ways that is to wire to do forecasts (and some reasons that these am like this often wrong).

Rows of money in the variety of half half of forecast: baseball, failures, poker, a stock market, politician, time, and terrorist attacks to appoint one the majority of interesting.

Throughout he all, adapted that the human beings are that they look for normalised animal and that we are like this probably to build models where any one there is so much is to find some harness and models corrected his predictive capacity. The forecasts do more when they are 1) probabilistic (i.et., Express the row of possibility and probability of attribute for each); 2) when they use like this information--both statistical and analytical--like this possible; and 3) when they are revised constantly the account for new information.

That logical like this sound, the looks of human character to drive in three opposite directions: 1) we look for forecasts that is definite and can be done to (i.et. 'Obama will beat Romney,' or ' rain tomorrow'); 2) knots gravitate verses of the methodologies that looks to discover the formula of magic ball that sucedido of guarantees; and 3) we feel to oblige to be for our same forecasts as they result increasingly unlikely. Seasoned prognosticators Touch the long game. Down some right circumstances (a start of poker, for example), the strategy that produced so only he sightly the better forecast that the casualidad random can produce enormous dividends.

Perhaps more surprisingly, the money is the writer adds (or, at least add it explainer). Like an English of entity with a lot of little grounding in of the statistics, still could comprise all say. Even more importantly, his narratives are interesting. Those who could have predicted that of Amsterdam the majority of famous stat-friki?
4 / 5 Cristal
Been born I money are known more partorisca his web of place FiveThirtyEight and his forecasts that EUA to concern presidential elections, and partorisca half comunicacionales general punditry regarding statistical inference. A Signal in a Noise is his first book and resupplies the critical evaluation of an art and science of predictive analytics. Some forces of a book are: explanation a lot clear to the equal that to the that the forecast is calculated, the wide selection of interesting examples, and good balance in detailing some relative forces and weaknesses in of the forecasts and a work of statistics. A book is pitched in a has interested dipped-audience of reader and seldom deviates of this level with Money that directs partorisca transmit relatively material complex in an accessible way. It conceal it is not partorisca say that a book is no-defender. One argues the head office is an ascent of Bayesian statistician partorisca improve predictive analytics, and correctly takes the task a lot of industries that use at length forecast, likes finance, but do such the poor work partorisca calculate that it can spend in a future. Some weaknesses of a book are that it is too long and starts partorisca result repetitious with too many examples that little add to a be of querella has done, and sometimes fails partorisca take account of the external factors of analytics to the equal that to reason the models and the subjects fail (in a chance of finance, cultural and structural subjects to the equal that to as an industry is organised and run). In general, the good introductory overview partorisca have sense of information partorisca some purposes partorisca calculate forecasts.
4 / 5 Cathern
Been born I money is resulted the name partorisca house when his fivethirtyeight the web of place correctly predicted all the results of 50 states in some them EUA Presidential election. I have begun this book with big hopes of the clear treatise on forecast. I a lot quickly taken bogged down this in spite of, in a highly EUA-centric character of this book. Start with a lot of detail roughly the political USA pollsters and pundits, quickly move to the highly detailed chapter roughly forecasts of baseball. Although ossia good to comprise for the no-baseball afficionado, a terminology of the endless baseball quickly achieves critical mass. A theory is good - the baseball is easy to do statistical models partorisca reasons a batters just bat and a pitchers just picth - only a fielding is a part of crew. As it is not partorisca like football (or to to football likes Been born without of the doubt would call), reason is quite pure. In fact he maps quite well the cricket, but has any one mention of cricket in this book. And in fact it has recently any one mentions of anything out of some the EUA in a whole book.

In that said the one who, ossia the quite readable book with some interesting chapters. It is not like this clearly it writes like this I have expected and some sections punctually forecasting (again mostly concerned with Hurricanes of EUA) and poker (international I knows and something Born has touched professionally) is well, but bit it woolly in his exposure.

I chapters the late plus is much better - a one in chess touching programs of computers (and an effect of bugs therein) and another in the transmission of climate is a lot of writing, although a last - like this one in forecasts of stock market - is in firm more than having stunning revelations.

Like another description has signalled out of a book is light in a mathematics he, but is adapted constantly of Bayes theorem and like that can use for real world-wide questions , complexes to verify are in some directly when we predict things.

Has not been convinced of everything in this book, but improve so it goes in and one can ignore a parochial character of his author of EUA is certainly value the bed.
3 / 5 Majorie
This book is interesting and frames some good points, but is so only far too long. A good editor could easily cut this book down to at least of half measure, probably same to the neighbourhood of a measure, and not losing any information of entity. So only it takes partorisca always partorisca read. For example, a chapter in the baseball is ridiculously along and vacancy far of a point of a book (doing forecasts) to some fine details of baseball. I did not think it never it go partorisca finalise!
Has the good book that tries to escape of an enormous mass of words in here: the second edition with the decent editor partorisca cut it down to the measure would be a lot of value the bed, but with a current edition is so only too that eats time partorisca find a nuggets of sensatez.
5 / 5 Christen
Highly informative and thoughtful, to a point of actively that changes my way to think. Quite weighed in statistical theory partly, as it is not the light and fluffy 'Freakonomics' book of type, but really could not expect take to a next page. Born Baseball of coverages of the money, earthquakes, time, poker, banking and another pending subject of the different chapters a book, giving the new and interesting idea to the each one that. So like this in fact that has been spending was a lot of some statisticians revelations in my own conversations of then, which has faeces undoubtedly a life and soul of any party! An only downside would say is that it can be quite Americanised in time, particularly with some parts of baseball where an author assumes the roughly dipped knowledge of the field and the imposed unexpectedly typical when at stake of statistical speaker, which probably will be lost in the plot of European readers.
4 / 5 Audie
Some things that has stuck was was:
- exposure of Bayes theorem: useful partorisca investors of financial phase the ward against the emotional decision that , because like this often a course a harder that invest is sticking with your view when a phase is going against you. The normal behaviour is partorisca give hanged More adds them to recent data: 'the phase still is doing X different predicted, as I owe that be wrong', more than the only slightly the modify 'this does not change anything really, my original hypothesis is intact to the equal that in all the chance has not been predicated in the immediate turning points that is achieved'.
- Kasparov vs Big Blue: like the computers are not like this amazing as (any computers savvy) the people often think is - that they are simply extensions of humans of own alcohols, not separating establishments altogether.
- In earthquakes: this Tohoku was 'normal' taken the longitude quite horizon of time, and that a lot of parts of some world-wide probably will experience earthquakes very big in spite of not thinking is zones of earthquake . A recency of the majority of frames of information of the remote earthquake too complacent ('so only spends in Giappone and California' for example)
- poker: ossia half regime and half skill, more than mostly skill like a lot of look partorisca think, and probably harder that in winning money in of the financial phases.

A book covers the plot of earth, is written in the journalistic fashion quite pleasant, and offers the a lot of rounded, humble take on a world of forecast. This in spite of probably does not say anything very new, but is more the description or collection partorisca exist the information in diverse forecast has related subjects. There is abundance of nomination partorisca fall all some interviews with the people of big level likes him Rumsfeld, but is not partorisca clear that it creates some interviews have resupplied. A lack of depth loves me skim a lot a book in investigation of real ideas. Die the one who some looks of author partorisca believe in a Bayesian approximation, more elaboration on using he in practical, the examples etc could be much more state rewarding.
5 / 5 Dominick
Some of some descriptions of the leading amazon of this book looks the little unfair, that says that it is boring in of the parts, that takes the long time partorisca build up or that it is light in substance. Has the terracing of masters in the statistics and I have found this book partorisca be the very interesting and involving read. It is written in the very clear fashion and covers both real world-wide questions of forecast and an underlying theory by means of examples. It corrects the number of errors in an art and science of forecast. Although a treatment is very accessible in way, an author in fact covers statistical concepts a lot and to good sure does not call this light of book in ubstance'.

Would recommend this book partorisca a general reader the one who is interested in an art and science of forecast or partorisca any the one who is studying statistical and would like me some background reading in some real world-wide applications of statistical methods.
5 / 5 Adena
If you are buying this book, doubt that need a lot an introduction to Born Money. While a lot he a content can be found in some works of Kahnman and another, the money has the slightly more personal take on a subject of forecasting, and behavioural science. In the world of Triumphs and Breixits, is refreshing partorisca be adapted that a world is far from black and aim, and that gives some describes ashes, and that an opinion does not have to that never be resisted stoically has evidence that would have to that the to you change.
4 / 5 Jaimee
A very read writing and very good, each chapter has the interesting history partorisca say roughly something (p. p.ej. Baseball, a time, earthquakes, poker) and is done me king-value my attitude partorisca risk. In a sound to begin to like it could have something deep and world-wide-that dressed of transmissions partorisca say, but partorisca me was simply very good. A footnotes is annoying in a Kindle the version that has to that jump around, the majority is just dates but there are some gems in there too so many could any one not leaving a flow of my reading partorisca be interrupted in this way. Some date partorisca do a look partorisca reserve slightly better researched that is: as it spends a last book has read was A Structure of Revolutions Scienziathe, and the money has comprised clearly bad Kuhn perspective. Bayes The theory is a lot of entity, but intervals of the confidence certainly still has his place also - objective-the analysis finally dips commanded a question of published results a lot when being any replicable. Would have like you has begun crunching some number me, but obviously is not that class of technical books. Still the very interesting bed.
4 / 5 Winford
Amado this book. Reducing some subjects to the analysis and the simple mathematician have said a history in the way that the student of institute could follow. Trying yours to think to the Bayesian was was novel and new mine.

The only critique of the reader of United Kingdom is a strong lean harvest on to sport and of the politics that is not known out of some the EUA.

There is enjoyed still. It has taken clash go for that has to that way that has had to that press by means of not following the majority of him.
4 / 5 Sparkle
Been born I money has done a estupefaciente (and, enough possibly an unpredictable) what with “A Signal and a Noise”. It has written an extremely good book when very still has to that. At all it is more common that arrest him to any one likes the money-some half comunicacionales phenom with the strong program (his 538 blog) to create the book to touch in in his 15 minutes. I have read probably two books of dozen in a past five years that he exactly this. But “A Signal and a Noise” is the much more substantial book that, said, “A Black Swan” or any of a “Freakonomics” offerings.

Is that diverse wide, in-look of depth in some ways that is to wire to do forecasts (and some reasons that these am like this often wrong).

Rows of money in the variety of half half of forecast: baseball, failures, poker, a stock market, politician, time, and terrorist attacks to appoint one the majority of interesting.

Throughout he all, adapted that the human beings are that they look for normalised animal and that we are like this probably to build models where any one there is so much is to find some harness and models corrected his predictive capacity. The forecasts do more when they are 1) probabilistic (i.et., Express the row of possibility and probability of attribute for each); 2) when they use like this information--both statistical and analytical--like this possible; and 3) when they are revised constantly the account for new information.

That logical like this sound, the looks of human character to drive in three opposite directions: 1) we look for forecasts that is definite and can be done to (i.et. 'Obama will beat Romney,' or ' rain tomorrow'); 2) knots gravitate verses of the methodologies that looks to discover the formula of magic ball that sucedido of guarantees; and 3) we feel to oblige to be for our same forecasts as they result increasingly unlikely. Seasoned prognosticators Touch the long game. Down some right circumstances (a start of poker, for example), the strategy that produced so only he sightly the better forecast that the casualidad random can produce enormous dividends.

Perhaps more surprisingly, the money is the writer adds (or, at least add it explainer). Like an English of entity with a lot of little grounding in of the statistics, still could comprise all say. Even more importantly, his narratives are interesting. Those who could have predicted that of Amsterdam the majority of famous stat-friki?
4 / 5 Tabitha
This book has several defects. One of one the big plus is giving 6-7 examples for each point have done. Or frankly delving too deeply to the @@subject until I have lost simply a point one writes tried to do — has learnt more roughly times forecasting then I never loved, for example. In essence this in spite of, concludes that Baysian way to think is a better way to go . And not limiting our creativity for limiting he so only that soaps and believing all can be modelled in of the systems that is inherently complex. In fact a more complicated a model, an erroneous more his results over time. But finally this has not been a enjoyable has read. It is very arduous compared to, says Factfulness which have read the week or so much.
5 / 5 Wilda
Born I money are known more for his web of place FiveThirtyEight and his forecasts that EUA to concern presidential elections, and for half comunicacionales general punditry regarding statistical inference. A Signal in a Noise is his first book and resupplies the critical evaluation of an art and science of predictive analytics. Some forces of a book are: explanation a lot clear to the equal that to the that the forecast is calculated, the wide selection of interesting examples, and good balance in detailing some relative forces and weaknesses in of the forecasts and a work of statistics. A book is pitched in a has interested dipped-audience of reader and seldom deviates of this level with Money that directs to transmit relatively material complex in an accessible way. It conceal it is not to say that a book is no-defender. One argues the head office is an ascent of Bayesian statistician to improve predictive analytics, and correctly takes the task a lot of industries that use at length forecast, likes finance, but do such the poor work to calculate that it can spend in a future. Some weaknesses of a book are that it is too long and starts to result repetitious with too many examples that little add to a be of querella has done, and sometimes fails to take account of the external factors of analytics to the equal that to reason the models and the subjects fail (in a chance of finance, cultural and structural subjects to the equal that to as an industry is organised and run). In general, the good introductory overview to have sense of information for some purposes to calculate forecasts.
4 / 5 Margene
Born I money is resulted the name to house when his fivethirtyeight the web of place correctly predicted all the results of 50 states in some them EUA Presidential election. I have begun this book with big hopes of the clear treatise on forecast. I a lot quickly has taken bogged down this in spite of, in a highly EUA-centric character of this book. Start with a lot of detail roughly the political USA pollsters and pundits, quickly move to the highly detailed chapter roughly forecasts of baseball. Although ossia good to comprise for the no-baseball afficionado, a terminology of the endless baseball quickly achieves critical mass. A theory is good - the baseball is easy to do statistical models for reasons a batters just bat and a pitchers just picth - only a fielding is a part of crew. As it is not to like football (or football like Born to good sure would call), reason is quite pure. In fact he maps quite well to cricket, but has any mention of cricket in this book. And in fact it has recently any one mentions of anything out of some the EUA in a whole book.

In that said the one who, ossia the quite readable book with some interesting chapters. It is not like this clearly it writes like this I have expected and some sections punctually forecasting (again mostly concerned with Hurricanes of EUA) and poker (international I knows and something Born has touched professionally) is well, but bit it woolly in his exposure.

I chapters he late the plus is very better - a one in chess touching programs of computers (and an effect of bugs therein) and another in the transmission of climate is very written, although a last - like this one in forecasts of stock market - is in firm more than having stunning revelations.

Like another description has signalled out of a book is light in a mathematics he, but is adapted constantly of Bayes theorem and like that can use for real world-wide questions , complexes to verify are in some directly when we predict things.

Has not been convinced by everything in this book, but improve so it goes in and one can ignore a parochial character of his author of EUA is certainly value the bed.
5 / 5 Retta
This book is interesting and frames some good points, but is so only far too long. A good editor could easily cut this book down to at least of half measure, probably same to the neighbourhood of a measure, and not losing any information of entity. So only it takes for ever to read. For example, a chapter in the baseball is ridiculously long and vacancy far of a point of a book (doing forecasts) to some fine details of baseball. I did not think it never it go to finalise!
Has the good book that tries to escape of an enormous mass of words in here: the second edition with the decent editor to cut it down to the measure would be a lot of value the bed, but with a current edition is so only too that eats time to find a nuggets of sensatez.
5 / 5 Hertha
Some of some descriptions of the leading amazon of this book looks the little unfair, that says that it is boring in of the parts, that takes the long time to build up or that it is light in substance. Has the terracing of masters in the statistics and I have found this book to be the very interesting and involving read. It is written in the very clear fashion and covers both real world-wide questions of forecast and an underlying theory by means of examples. It corrects the number of errors in an art and science of forecast. Although a treatment is very accessible in way, an author in fact covers statistical concepts a lot and to good sure does not call this light of book in ubstance'.

Would recommend this book for a general reader the one who is interested in an art and science of forecast or for any the one who is studying statistical and would like me some background reading in some real world-wide applications of statistical methods.
5 / 5 Zula
Some things that has stuck was was:
- exposure of Bayes theorem: useful for investors of financial phase to ward against the emotional decision that , reason like this often a course a harder that invest is sticking with your view when a phase is going against you. The normal behaviour is to give hanged More adds them to recent data: 'the phase still is doing X different predicted, as I owe that be wrong', more than the only slightly the modify 'this does not change anything really, my original hypothesis is intact to the equal that in all the chance has not gone predicated in the immediate turning points that is achieved'.
- Kasparov vs Big Blue: like the computers are not like this amazing as (any computers savvy) the people often think is - that they are simply extensions of humans of own alcohols, not separating establishments altogether.
- In earthquakes: this Tohoku was 'normal' taken the longitude quite horizon of time, and that a lot of parts of some world-wide probably will experience earthquakes very big in spite of not thinking is zones of earthquake . A recency of the majority of frames of information of the remote earthquake too complacent ('so only spends in Giappone and California' for example)
- poker: ossia half regime and half skill, more than mostly skill like a lot of look to think, and probably harder that in winning money in of the financial phases.

Of the discharges of book to plot of earth, is written in the journalistic fashion quite pleasant, and offers the a lot of rounded, humble take on a world of forecast. This in spite of probably does not say anything very new, but is more the description or collection to exist the information in diverse forecast has related subjects. There is abundance of nomination to fall all some interviews with the people of big level likes him Rumsfeld, but is not to clear that it creates some interviews have resupplied. A lack of depth loves me skim a lot a book in investigation of real ideas. Die the one who some looks of author to believe in a Bayesian approximation, more elaboration on using he in practical, the examples etc could be much more state rewarding.
4 / 5 Tisha
I money is coming my attention when his FiveThirtyEight the blog with accuracy predicted some results of all 50 states of EUA during some 2012 EUA Presidential elections.

I money writes a lot well and a lot of readably. A message key of a book is around like this to adapt forecasts in a base of flow of new information that use the Bayesian approximation. A book is this in spite of any mathematician. Instead it is full of interesting examples of forecasting does a lot of - and bad.

This would have to that it has been reading required for all a journos and political the one who panicked in a base of an investigation to aim one votes advances in Scozia.
4 / 5 Beverley
This book resupplies salutory lessons partorisca any that tries to connect results with available data partorisca explore the potential correlations that learning of use of car or alike approximations. Perhaps it bends a clave behind too much far the little time - sometimes highly unexpected corelations can be effect and reports of real cause - but does a lot effectively warn, if in physical or social sciences - partorisca step a lot attentively.
4 / 5 Maryjane
Is buying This book, doubt that need a lot an introduction to Born Money. While a lot he a content can be found in some works of Kahnman and another, the money has the slightly more personal take on a subject of forecasting, and behavioural science. In the world of Triumphs and Breixits, is refreshing partorisca be adapted that a world is far from black and aim, and that @gives some describes ashes, and that an opinion does not have to that never be resisted stoically has evidence that would have to that the to you change.
5 / 5 Cassandra
An introduction adds to the statistician has thought, one of a better. I skipped a chapter on baseball, the baseball of cause is inherently boring, but has loved a rest of a book.
5 / 5 Nell
A really a lot looking in like this forecasting and the forecast has treated in of the recent years. He also looks in Been born the proposition of the money on like this to improve a community forecasting action by means of an use a wide plus of Bayes theorem when that currency the forecast or that come from the theory
4 / 5 Ines
first book that has read in predictive analytics. Glorious. If to use well help to see an increasing need for probabilistic has thought.

Read it so only first of mine terracing of postgrado in Science of Data. I gave the good idea of one of his facets.
4 / 5 Jolyn
Are the big defender of Born Money and is looked forward to this book but a quantity to detail roughly statistical of baseball with a supposition that a reader comprises him all is resulted a lot distracts it and the place was a book. These careers of same supposition by means of other parts of a book as when it speaks a shortcomings of diverse television pundits.

Probably the very a lot of bed yes is some the EUA but much less of interest for a rest of a world.
5 / 5 Dorine
An interesting discussion of statistical and numerical analysis compared with instinct and 'feel'. This in spite of is far too long, with examples that bad at all external of some the EUA.
Sad to say, although I have found a @@@subject fascinating, has given up with him - he the very good work to generate his own noise.
5 / 5 Corie
I really enjoyed this. It is very written and a subject @@@subject is for real fascinating An author is much more modest that many some professionals pundits and forecasters there. I have learnt enough to plot of him and in spite of being quite the big book I never bored .
Still did not help me bet in a winner of one 3:15 of Redcar this in spite of.
5 / 5 Joie
Likes -you the numbers, statistician and to the equal that to use them to improve forecasts this is the very good book, if populist in character. It is not for a sure academician. An author is the little self indulgent and is very oriented to north Amsterdam, but takings down that, there is some 'wow' moments to the equal that explains 'rooster-ups' in economic forecasting. Have enjoyed a book, but besides, likes a lot that 'pop on' in a history, are the mathematician biased .
4 / 5 Audrie
I have enjoyed a breadth of discussion (forecasting of time, transmission of climate, sportive chances, macroeconomy, stock market, earthquakes and terrorism) and has thought a book was quite well on substance. Writing the fashion resembles is strongly state modified to do a book an accessible bed with detailing animate ossia irrelevant to a subject @@@subject.
5 / 5 Fay
Wants to read more books like A Signal and a Noise, and wants to read more books for authors like Born Money.

A lot so only does Been born alive and breathe his work, but the investigation was and dozens of interviews of one the majority of interesting and informative people in this field, doing is the lovely resource.

But attended, there there is more. You know why it likes Been born Of Money? It is like this ready and that interest that he any one has to that say like this. This book is so only that shares his passion (obsession?) With the few thousands of his better friends.
5 / 5 Myesha
An author underlines a common pitfalls in forecasting well. Some knowledge of baseball is assumed to follow sure chapters. Almost all calm the querellas is supported by references that a reader could follow on afterwards.
4 / 5 Orpha
Pensa In whole plot of unnecessary is found in this book without the clear and coherent point. A bit of poker, sport, and other things but an analysis is at all unusual and a lot often fails to draw lessons with meaning wider.
5 / 5 Treva
Covers the wide row of subjects to illustrate his subject of forecast, forecasting and probability. Claro and easy to read. Thoroughly It enjoy It this book.... Usually I have 2-3 books in some gone immediately and transmission among his second my way. No this time, I focussed so only in this book.
4 / 5 Agustin
Of baseball the politics. Of players to real players. As to win money of papers and as to win money of actions. Predicting Virales models of explosion and so more. Everything without a mathematics detailed that servants to confuse a lick. Súper Book. An easy bed.
4 / 5 Ashleigh
Any new concept
has bought in late 2018 - content dated
A lot the time drawn out of illustrations
Few practical examples of Noise vs Signal
would have to that be condensed to 25/50 pages
5 / 5 Celsa
the book Adds - the fluent explanation of some underlying principles of forecast. It have to that be reading required for any politician pundit. An only downside? Has the total American sprain prójimo : if you do not know the baseball (a form of rounders populate in some the EUA and a lot pocolos other places) is everything roughly, will struggle with some of some analogies and examples. Still value persevering.
5 / 5 Jonelle
A just evaluation of mathematics in work in a real world. An only downside when being in fascination of a writer with baseball - COST - in some States but the small confusing here in United Kingdom. Now it has written it the capitulate on Cricket! There is given five stars. But in general the readable book in a difference among 'casualidad' and 'risked.
4 / 5 Vella
The must has read. Of it dress it to them very clear in a world. Especially yes interested in finance.
5 / 5 Meg
After all a hype around this book has been expecting something exceptional. In fact this book is mainly the discussion of a lot of @@subject statistical known to the equal that affect forecasting.

Is quite a lot of writing, but finally forgettable
5 / 5 Jenna
One obliging read. Statistician of frames of the money that to to interests like of small other writers in our earth. A overarching the metaphor is clear and an intriguing exemplification.
4 / 5 Antonio
This book is a lot of-writing and the money of Ladies directs partorisca combine precision in his writing with the relaxed and easy to read way. A content is attentive and authoritative - the discussion adds of forecast.
4 / 5 Deonna
Good book. Mainly partorisca American those who love baseball, but strong in his analytics and sincere in that have his limitations.
5 / 5 Aline
Read prevails it order it in fact. Interesting subjects. A bit philosophical in some ideas (more than practices, the technology oriented) but was feigned partorisca be science of pop, as any complains. Recommended.
4 / 5 Marin
Ossia The good book like an academic work but is sometimes too detailed partorisca a normal reader. There is also considerable concentration of forecasts of games of baseball that is squandered enough in of the readers other countries. Like the result of a detail is easy to lose appearances of entities that needs to be explained more simply partorisca normal readers.
4 / 5 Misty
This book has changed my alcohols on few things. Well lovely reading if somehow it is involved with or so only interrested in analytics, die, ... Easy bed, that absorbs and causes in me a lot of ideas of experiences with data (as easy nowdays with R and profusion of free data). My favourite section is a an on predicting earthquakes (honnestly did not think it never could have been).
5 / 5 Ilana
He rambles the plot in his narrow interests but good message.
5 / 5 Amber
Is the very simply reserve to say in statistics and comprise probabilities. In a same, felt was simplified too much and basic.
4 / 5 Kimberli
Was less prescriptive and autobiographical that had expected the to be. At the beginning, it seats it bite it disappointed, but a estrong logical of the chance has joined the reasonable conclusions' the structure has grown on me. Has has had to that reassess to the equal that thinks and forecasts of mark, and this was surely an alcohol of an exercise. You recommend this to any one. In the heartbeat.
5 / 5 Isela
A bit register winded in the parts but you will finalise with the utmost comprising of reasons a lot of forecasts for many like this called that the result of experts partorisca be a lot inaccurate.
4 / 5 Georgianna
A pointed scepticism for drive partorisca find some premises of inarticulate entities that bedevil the intelligent decision that does for the write the one who explores statistical - and discards more- partorisca look in some bases partorisca order circumstantial die = and it using. So only the desire had been writing sooner.
5 / 5 Tandra
An essential book. The quantitative methods have done amused by means of application to interesting subjects.
5 / 5 Ellis
A lot finalising the closing, but like this far that says does the plot of sense. Read other books for a same author
5 / 5 Catalina
book Really interesting, taking bogged down from time to time but some really good material in a whole. Looked the Freakanomics in of the terms of @@@subject and use of interesting but the utmost episodes is has adapted rights